Items where Subject is "HA Statistics"

Library of Congress subjects (102130)

H Social Sciences (61913)

HA Statistics (1632) Year LSE creators Item Type Departments File available

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Lyrvall, Johan, Di Mari, Roberto, Bakk, Zsuzsa, Oser, Jennifer, Kuha, Jouni (2025). Multilevel latent class analysis: state-of-the-art methodologies and their implementation in the R package multilevLCA. Multivariate Behavioral Research, https://doi.org/10.1080/00273171.2025.2473935

Accounting

Mennicken, Andrea, Salais, Robert (Eds.) (2022). The new politics of numbers: utopia, evidence and democracy. Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-78201-6 picture_as_pdf

Bhimani, Alnoor (2015). Exploring big data’s strategic consequences. Journal of Information Technology, 30(1), 66-69. https://doi.org/10.1057/jit.2014.29

Mennicken, Andrea, Salais, Robert (2021). The new politics of numbers: an introduction. In Mennicken, Andrea, Salais, Robert (Eds.), The New Politics of Numbers: Utopia, Evidence and Democracy (pp. 1 - 42). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-78201-6_1 picture_as_pdf

Merchant, Kenneth A, Van der Stede, Wim A., Zoni, Laura (2013). Sistemi di controllo di gestione: misure di performance, valutazione e incentivi. Pearson (Firm).

Vedres, Balázs, Stark, David (2010). Structural folds: generative disruption in overlapping groups1. American Journal of Sociology, 115(4), 1150-1190. https://doi.org/10.1086/649497

Asia Centre

Atkinson, Anthony B., Gomulka, J., Stern, Nicholas (1990). Spending on alcohol: evidence from the family expenditure survey 1970-1983. The Economic Journal, 100(402), 808-827.

Carr-Hill, Roy A., Hope, Keith, Stern, Nicholas (1972). Delinquent generations revisited. Quality and Quantity, 6(2), 327-351. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00211911

Care Policy and Evaluation Centre

Belotti, Federico, Deb, Partha, Manning, Willard G., Norton, Edward C. (2015). twopm: two-part models. Stata Journal, 15(1), 3-20.

Farina, Nicolas, Jacobs, Roxanne, Turana, Yuda, Fitri, Fasihah Irfani, Schneider, Marguerite, Theresia, Imelda, Docrat, Sumaiyah, Sani, Tara Puspitarini, Augustina, Lydia & Albanese, Emiliano et al (2023). Comprehensive measurement of the prevalence of dementia in low- and middle-income countries: STRiDE methodology and its application in Indonesia and South Africa. BJPsych Open, 9(4). https://doi.org/10.1192/bjo.2023.76 picture_as_pdf

Forrester-Jones, Rachel, Carpenter, John, Coolen-Schrijner, Pauline, Cambridge, Paul, Tate, Alison, Beecham, Jennifer, Hallam, Angela, Knapp, Martin, Wooff, David (2006). The social networks of people with intellectual disability living in the community 12 years after resettlement from long-stay hospitals. Journal of Applied Research in Intellectual Disabilities, 19(4), 285-295. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-3148.2006.00263.x

Knapp, Martin (2006). The economics of group care practice: a reappraisal. Child and Youth Services, 28(1-2), 259-284. https://doi.org/10.1300/J024v28n01_05

Malley, Juliette, Fernández, José-Luis (2012-09-05 - 2012-09-08) Developing adjusted indicators of quality from survey data [Paper]. 2nd International Conference on Evidence-Based Policy in Long-Term Care, London, United Kingdom, GBR.

Romeo, R., McIntosh, B., Knapp, Martin, Sanderson, Helen, Swift, Paul, Robertson, J., Emerson, E., Routledge, M., Oakes, P. & Elliot, J. et al (2006). Training costs of person-centred planning. University of Kent.

Romeo, Renee, Knapp, Martin, Scott, Stephen (2006). Economic cost of severe antisocial behaviour in children – and who pays it. British Journal of Psychiatry, 188(6), 547-553. https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.bp.104.007625

Centre for Analysis of Risk & Regulation

Bevan, Gwyn (2004). Qualitaetsberichterstattung in England seit 1997. In Schellschmidt, Henner, Klauber, Jurgen, Robra, Bernt P. (Eds.), Krankenhaus-Report 2004 (pp. 95-110). Schattauer Verlag.

Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank, Gaertner, W (2006). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi's utilitarian ethics. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank A., Gaertner, Wulf (2009). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi’s utilitarian ethics. Social Choice and Welfare, 32(2), 299-316. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-008-0324-x

Cowell, Frank (2006). Inequality: measurement. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Jenkins, Stephen P (2000). Estimating welfare indices : household weights and sample design. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 48 48). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Karagiannaki, Eleni, McKnight, Abigail (2013). The relative role of socio-economic factors in explaining the changing distribution of wealth in the US and the UK. (GINI Discussion Paper 85). London School of Economic and Political Science.

Cowell, Frank, Litchfield, Julie, Mercader-Prats, Magda (1999). Income inequality comparisons with dirty data: the UK and Spain during the 1980s. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 45 45). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Schluter, Christian (1998). Measuring income mobility with dirty data. (CASEpaper CASE/16). Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (2001). Distributional dominance with dirty data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 51 51). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1998). Statistical inference for Lorenz curves with censored data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 35 35). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1999). Statistical inference for welfare under complete and incomplete information. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 47 47). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1996). Welfare judgements in the presence of contaminated data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 13). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (2002). Welfare rankings in the presence of contaminated data. Econometrica, 70(3), 1221-1234. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00324

Cowell, Frank A., Fleurbaey, Marc, Tungodden, Bertil (2015). The tyranny puzzle in social preferences: an empirical investigation. Social Choice and Welfare, 45(4), 765-792. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-015-0880-9

Cowell, Frank A., Van Kerm, Philippe (2015). Wealth inequality: a survey. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(4), 671-710. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12114 picture_as_pdf

Elias, Peter, McKnight, Abigail (2003). Earnings, unemployment and the new social classification. In Rose, David, Pevalin, David J. (Eds.), A Researcher's Guide to the National Statistics Socio-Economic Classification . SAGE Publications.

Elias, Peter, McKnight, Abigail (1997). Occupations, earnings and social classification. In Rose, David, O'Reilly, Karen (Eds.), Constructing Classes: Towards a New Social Classification for the Uk . Economic and Social Research Council / Office for National Statistics.

Elias, Peter, McKnight, Abigail (2001). Skill measurement in official statistics: recent developments in the UK and the rest of Europe. Oxford Economic Papers, 53(3), 508-540. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/53.3.508

Fenton, Alex (2012). Reduced statistics: housing and communities in england. Radical Statistics, 107, 70-77.

Karagiannaki, Eleni (2017). The empirical relationship between income poverty and income inequality in rich and middle income countries. (CASE Papers 206). London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Li, Bingqin, Peng, Huamin (2010). State funded re-employment training, long term unemployment and informal employment in Tianjin, China. In Wu, Fulong, Webster, Chris (Eds.), Marginalization in Urban China: Comparative Perspectives . Palgrave Macmillan.

McKnight, Abigail (1995). Standard industrial classification(first destination supplement): classification structure and coding index. Higher Education Statistics Agency.

McKnight, Abigail (1995). Standard occupational classification(first destination supplement): classification structure and coding index. Higher Education Statistics Agency.

McKnight, Abigail, Elias, Peter (2003). Empirical variation in employment relations and conditions: validating the new social classification. In Rose, David, Pevalin, David J. (Eds.), A Researcher's Guide to the National Statistics Socio-Economic Classification . SAGE Publications.

Sigle-Rushton, Wendy, Hobcraft, John, Kiernan, Kathleen (2005). Parental divorce and subsequent disadvantage: a cross-cohort comparison. Demography, 42(3), 427-446. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2005.0026

Steele, Fiona, Sigle-Rushton, Wendy, Kravdal, Øystein (2009). Consequences of family disruption on children's educational outcomes in Norway. Demography, 46(3), 553-574. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.0.0063

Steele, Fiona, Zhang, Siliang, Grundy, Emily, Burchardt, Tania (2024). Longitudinal analysis of exchanges of support between parents and children in the UK. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 187(2), 279 - 304. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnad110 picture_as_pdf

Centre for Analysis of Time Series

Barrieu, P., El Karoui, N. (2008). Dynamic financial risk management. In Yor, Marc (Ed.), Aspects of Mathematical Finance (pp. 23-36). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Barrieu, Pauline, El Karoui, Nicole (2013). Monotone stability of quadratic semimartingales with applications to general quadratic BSDEs. Annals of Probability, 41(3B), 1831-1863. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-AOP743

Barrieu, Pauline, Fehr, Max (2014). Market-consistent modeling for cap-and-trade schemes and application to option pricing. Operations Research, 62(2), 234-249. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2013.1242

Barrieu, Pauline, Schoutens, Wim (2006). Iterates of the infinitesimal generator and space-time harmonic polynomials of a Markov process. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 186(1), 300-323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2005.04.014

Barrieu, Pauline, Veraart, Luitgard A. M. (2016). Pricing q-forward contracts: an evaluation of estimation window and pricing method under different mortality models. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2016(2), 146-166. https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2014.916228

Berger, J., Smith, Leonard A. (2018). Uncertainty quantification. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application,

Bergin, A., Chapman, S. C., Watkins, N. W., Moloney, N. R., Gjerloev, J. W. (2023). Extreme event statistics in Dst, SYM-H, and SMR geomagnetic indices. Space Weather, 21(3). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003304 picture_as_pdf

Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A. (2017). Rising above chaotic likelihoods. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 246-258. https://doi.org/10.1137/140988784

Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A. (2013). Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas, Wheeler, Gregory (Eds.), New Challenges to Philosophy of Science (pp. 479-492). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Gibbsian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-37

Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A. (2015). An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192(12), 3979-4008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0739-8

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-36 picture_as_pdf

Giammarino, Flavia, Barrieu, Pauline (2009). A semiparametric model for the systematic factors of portfolio credit risk premia. Journal of Empirical Finance, 16(4), 655-670. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2009.05.001

Gilmour, Isla, Smith, Leonard A., Buizza, Roberto (2001). Linear regime duration: is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(22), 3525-3539. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3525:LRDIHA>2.0.CO;2

Giovagnoli, Alessandra, Wynn, Henry P. (2012). (U,V) ordering and a duality theorem for risk aversion and Lorenz type orderings. (LSE Philosophy Papers). Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science.

Guerrero, Alexandra, Smith, Leonard A. (2005). A maximum likelihood estimator for long-range persistence. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 355(2-4), 619-632. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2005.03.002

Hansen, James A., Smith, Leonard A. (2001). Probabilistic noise reduction. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 53(5), 585-598. https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0870.2001.00118.x

Jarman, Alex, Smith, Leonard A. (2011-05-26) Small-number statistics, common sense, and profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting [Poster]. LSE Research Day 2011: The Early Career Researcher, London, United Kingdom, GBR.

Jarman, Alexander S. (2014). On the provision, reliability, and use of hurricane forecasts on various timescales [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Jarman, Alexander, Smith, Leonard A. (2018). Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3384 picture_as_pdf

Judd, Kevin, Smith, Leonard A., Weisheimer, Antje (2007). How good is an ensemble at capturing truth?: using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133(626), 1309-1325. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.111

Kobayashi, Kei, Wynn, Henry P. (2020). Empirical geodesic graphs and CAT(k) metrics for data analysis. Statistics and Computing, 30(1), 1 - 18. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-019-09855-3

McSharry, Patrick E., Smith, Leonard A., Tarassenko, Lionel (2003). Prediction of epileptic seizures: are nonlinear methods relevant? Nature Medicine, 9(3), 241-242. https://doi.org/10.1038/nm0303-241

Smith, Leonard A. (1995). Accountability and error in ensemble prediction of baroclinic flows. In Seminar on Predictability, 4-8 September 1995 (pp. 351-368). European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.

Smith, Leonard A. (1992). Comments on the paper of R Smith, estimating dimension in noisy chaotic time series. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 54(2), 329-352.

Smith, Leonard A. (2001). Disentangling uncertainty and error: on the predictability of nonlinear systems. In Mees, Alistair I. (Ed.), Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics (pp. 31-64). Birkhäuser (Firm).

Smith, Leonard A. (1995). Locally optimized prediction of nonlinear systems: stochastic and deterministic. In Tong, Howell (Ed.), Chaos and Forecasting . World Scientific (Firm).

Smith, Leonard A. (1994). Visualizing predictability with chaotic ensembles. In Luk, Franklin T. (Ed.), Advanced Signal Processing: Algorithms, Architectures, and Implementations V (Proceedings Volume) (pp. 293-304). Society of Photo-optical Instrumentation Engineers. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.190844

Smith, Leonard A. (1995). A personal overview of nonlinear time-series analysis from a chaos perspective - comments. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 22(4), 435-437.

Smith, Leonard A., Roulston, Mark S. (2002). Weather and seasonal forecasting. In Dischel, Robert (Ed.), Climate Risk and the Weather Market (pp. 115-126). Risk Books.

Smith, Leonard A., Ziehmann, C., Fraedrich, K. (1999). Uncertainty dynamics and predictability in chaotic systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125(560), 2855-2886. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712556005

Smith, Leonard A., Du, Hailiang, Higgins, Sarah (2020). Designing multi-model applications with surrogate forecast systems. Monthly Weather Review, 148(6), 2233 - 2249. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0061.1 picture_as_pdf

Smith, Leonard A., Suckling, Emma B., Thompson, Erica L., Maynard, Trevor, Du, Hailiang (2015). Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation. Climatic Change, 132(1), 31-45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1430-2

Suckling, Emma B., Smith, Leonard A. (2013). An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models. Journal of Climate, 26(23), 9334-9347. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1

Volodina, Victoria, Wheatcroft, Edward, Wynn, Henry (2022). Comparing district heating options under uncertainty using stochastic ordering. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 30, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2022.100634 picture_as_pdf

Vrugt, Jasper A., Beven, Keith J. (2018). Embracing equifinality with efficiency : limits of acceptability sampling using the DREAM(LOA) algorithm. Journal of Hydrology, 559, 954-971. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.02.026

Werndl, Charlotte, Frigg, Roman (2015). Reconceptualising equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics and characterising its existence. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, 49, 19-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsb.2014.12.002 picture_as_pdf

Wheatcroft, Edward (2021). Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: the case against the ranked probability score. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 17(4), 273 - 287. https://doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2019-0089 picture_as_pdf

Wheatcroft, Edward (2021). Forecasting football matches by predicting match statistics. Journal of Sports Analytics, 7(2), 77 - 97. https://doi.org/10.3233/JSA-200462 picture_as_pdf

Wheatcroft, Edward (2020). A profitable model for predicting the over/under market in football. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 916 - 932. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.11.001 picture_as_pdf

Youssef, Noha, Wynn, Henry (2019). A discussion on adaptive designs for computer experiments. Sequential Analysis, 38(3), 400 - 410. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474946.2019.1648932

Zhang, Wen, Dunkley, Andrew, Kanabar, Urvi, Elliott, David, Wynn, Henry P. (2022). A decision support system for liability in civil litigation: a case study from an insurance company. Annals of Operations Research, 315(2), 695 - 706. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-020-03905-0

Centre for Economic Performance

Marsden, David, Redlbacher, Lydia (Eds.) (1984). Guide to sources of wages statistics in the European Community. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Marsden, David, Legg, Wilfrid, Redlbacher, Lydia, Reid, Magdalena (Eds.) (1984). Working time statistics: methods and measurement in the European community. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Marsden, David (Ed.) (1991). The future of European wage and labour cost statistics. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Allen, Rebecca, Vignoles, Anna (2007). What does an index of school segregation measure? Oxford Review of Education, 33(5), 643-688. https://doi.org/10.1080/03054980701366306

Bajgar, Matej, Criscuolo, Chiara, Timmis, Jonathan (2025). Intangibles and industry concentration: a cross-country analysis. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12659 picture_as_pdf

Bruno, Randolph Luca, Campos, Nauro, Estrin, Saul, Tian, Meng (2017). Economic integration, foreign investment and international trade: the effects of membership of the European Union. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1518). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Dachis, Ben, Duranton, Gilles, Turner, Matthew A. (2012). The effects of land transfer taxes on real estate markets: evidence from a natural experiment in Toronto. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(2), 327-354. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr007

Denning, Jeffrey, Murphy, Richard, Weinhardt, Felix (2023). Class rank and long-run outcomes. Review of Economics and Statistics, 105(6), 1426 - 1441. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01125

Dolan, Paul, Layard, Richard, Metcalfe, Robert (2011). Measuring subjective well-being for public policy. Great Britain. Office for National Statistics.

Fazio, Ila, Mann, Vera, Boone, Peter (2011). Temporal trends (1977-2007) and ethnic inequity in child mortality in rural villages of southern Guinea Bissau. BMC Public Health, 11(683). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-683

Forth, John, Bewley, Helen, Bryson, Alex, Dixon, Gill, Oxenbridge, Sarah (2010). Survey errors and survey costs: a response to Timming’s critique of the survey of employees questionnaire in WERS 2004. Work, Employment and Society, 24(3), 578-590. https://doi.org/10.1177/0950017010371647

Gibbons, Stephen (14 July 2011) Crime nudge. Spatial Economics Research Centre Blog. picture_as_pdf

Gibbons, Stephen (2013). Do student satisfaction ratings affect university choices? New evidence about the National Student Survey.

Gibbons, Stephen, Overman, Henry G., Patacchini, Eleonora (2015). Spatial methods. In Duranton, Gilles, Henderson, J. Vernon, Strange, William C. (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics (pp. 115-168). North-Holland. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59517-1.00003-9

Kolsrud, Jonas, Landais, Camille, Nilsson, Peter, Spinnewijn, Johannes (2015). The optimal timing of UI benefits: theory and evidencefrom Sweden. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1361). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Krueger, Alan, Pischke, Jorn-Steffen (1997). A statistical analysis of crime against foreigners in unified Germany. Journal of Human Resources, 32, 182-209.

Lawless, Paul, Tyler, Peter, Overman, Henry G. (2011). Strategies for underperforming places. (SERC Policy Papers SERCPP006). The London School of Economics and Political Science, Spatial Economics Research Centre.

Morrow, John (2014). Benford's Law, families of distributions and a test basis. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1291). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Moser, C. A., Layard, Richard, Irwin, J. O. (1964). Planning the scale of higher education in Great Britain: some statistical problems. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 127(4), 473-526.

Oparina, Ekaterina, Kaiser, Caspar, Gentile, Niccoló, Tkatchenko, Alexandre, Clark, Andrew E., De Neve, Jan-Emmanuel, D'Ambrosio, Conchita (2022). Human wellbeing and machine learning. (CEP Discussion Papers 1863). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance. picture_as_pdf

Oulton, Nicholas (2004). A statistical framework for the analysis of productivity and sustainable development. (CEPDP CEPDP0629). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Parey, Matthias, Ruhose, Jens, Waldinger, Fabian, Netz, Nicolai (2017). The selection of high-skilled emigrants. Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(5), 776-792. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00687 picture_as_pdf

Pischke, Jorn-Steffen, Wachter, Till von (2008). Zero returns to compulsory schooling in Germany: evidence and interpretation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3), 592 - 598. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.3.592

Redding, Stephen, Weinstein, David E. (2019). Aggregation and the gravity equation. (CEP Discussion Papers 1595). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance. picture_as_pdf

Song, Jae, Price, David J., Guvenen, Fatih, Bloom, Nick (2015). Firming up inequality. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1354). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Steele, Fiona, Vignoles, Anna, Jenkins, Andrew (2007). The effect of school resources on pupil attainment: a multilevel simultaneous equation modelling approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 170(3), 801-824. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00476.x

Waldinger, Fabian (2016). Bombs, brains, and science: the role of human and physical capital for the creation of scientific knowledge. Review of Economics and Statistics, 98(5), 811 - 831. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00565

Centre for Macroeconomics

Born, Benjamin, Müller, Gernot J., Schularick, Moritz, Sedlacek, Petr (2017). The economic consequences of the Brexit Vote. (CFM Discussion Paper Series CFM-DP2017-38). Centre For Macroeconomics.

Corsetti, Giancarlo, Crowley, Meredith, Han, Lu, Song, Huasheng (2018). Markets and markups: a new empirical framework and evidence on exporters from China. (CFM Discussion Paper Series CFM-DP2018-03). Centre For Macroeconomics.

Oulton, Nicholas (2018). GDP and the system of national accounts: past, present and future. (CFM Discussion Paper Series CFM-DP2018-02). Centre For Macroeconomics.

Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Sciences (CPNSS)

Adler, Matthew (2020). What should we spend to save lives in a pandemic? A critique of the value of statistical life. Covid Economics, (33), 1-45. picture_as_pdf

Cartwright, Nancy (2011). Predicting “it will work for us”: (way) beyond statistics. In McKay Illari, Phyllis, Russo, Federica, Williamson, Jon (Eds.), Causality in the Sciences . Oxford University Press.

Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A. (2013). Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas, Wheeler, Gregory (Eds.), New Challenges to Philosophy of Science (pp. 479-492). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Gibbsian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-37

Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A. (2015). An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192(12), 3979-4008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0739-8

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-36 picture_as_pdf

Grattan-Guinness, Ivor (2014). From anomaly to fundament: Louis Poinsotʼs theories of the couple in mechanics. Historia Mathematica, 41(1), 82-102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hm.2013.08.002

Hill, Theodore P., Arden, Rosalind (2023). Recurring errors in studies of gender differences in variability. Stats, 6(2), 519-525. https://doi.org/10.3390/stats6020033 picture_as_pdf

Krauss, Alexander (2021). Assessing the overall validity of randomised controlled trials. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science, 34(3), 159 - 182. https://doi.org/10.1080/02698595.2021.2002676 picture_as_pdf

Pirrone, Angelo, Gobet, Fernand (2021). Is attentional discounting in value-based decision making magnitude sensitive? Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 33(3), 327 - 336. https://doi.org/10.1080/20445911.2021.1890091 picture_as_pdf

Suárez, Mauricio (2013). Propensities and pragmatism. The Journal of Philosophy, 110(2), 61-92.

Suárez, Mauricio (2017). Propensities, probabilities and experimental statistics. In Massimi, Michela, Romeijn, Jan-Willem, Schurz, Gerhard (Eds.), EPSA15 selected papers: the 5th conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association in Düsseldorf (pp. 335-345). Springer Nature (Firm).

Werndl, Charlotte, Frigg, Roman (2015). Reconceptualising equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics and characterising its existence. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, 49, 19-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsb.2014.12.002 picture_as_pdf

Economic History

Morgan, Mary S., Morrison, Margaret (Eds.) (1999). Models as mediators: perspectives on natural and social science. Cambridge University Press.

Boumans, Marcel (2007). Battle in the planning office: biased experts versus normative statisticians. (Working papers on the nature of evidence: how well do 'facts' travel? 16/07). Department of Economic History, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Cummins, Neil (2025). The causal effects of education on age at marriage and marital fertility. European Review of Economic History, 29(3), 273 - 320. https://doi.org/10.1093/ereh/heae023 picture_as_pdf

Deng, Kent (2003). Fact or fiction? Re-examination of Chinese premodern population statistics. (Economic History Working Papers 76/03). Department of Economic History, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Gazeley, Ian, Gutierrez Rufrancos, Hector, Newell, Andrew, Reynolds, Kevin, Searle, Rebecca (2017). The poor and the poorest, 50 years on: evidence from British Household Expenditure Surveys of the 1950s and 1960s. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 180(2), 455 - 474. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12202

Howlett, Peter (1995). Fighting with figures: statistical digest of the Second World War. Great Britain. Central Statistical Office.

Lewis, Colin M. (2008). Britain, the Argentine and informal empire: rethinking the role of railway companies. In Brown, Mattew (Ed.), Informal Empire in Latin America: Culture, Commerce and Capital (pp. 99-123). Wiley-Blackwell.

Ma, Debin, Yuan, Weipeng (2016). Discovering economic history in footnotes: the story of the Tong Taisheng merchant archive (1790-1850). Modern China, 42(5), 483-504. https://doi.org/10.1177/0097700415606872

Morgan, Mary S. (2020). Inducing visibility and visual deduction. (Economic History Working Papers 306). London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Morgan, Mary S. (1999). Learning from models. In Morgan, Mary S., Morrison, Margaret (Eds.), Models as Mediators: Perspectives on Natural and Social Science (pp. 347-388). Cambridge University Press.

Morgan, Mary S. (1999). Models of mediating instruments. In Morgan, Mary S., Morrison, Margaret (Eds.), Models as Mediators: Perspectives on Natural and Social Science (pp. 10-37). Cambridge University Press.

Morgan, Mary S. (1997). Searching for causal relations in economic statistics: reflections from history. In McKim, Vaughn R., Turner, Stephen P. (Eds.), Causality in Crisis?: Statistical Methods and the Search for Causal Knowledge in the Social Sciences (pp. 47-80). University of Notre Dame Press.

Roses, Joan R., Wolf, Nikolaus (2018). Regional economic development in Europe, 1900-2010: a description of the patterns. (Economic History working papers 278/2018). London School of Economics and Political Science.

Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1973). On some tests for time-dependence of a transfer function. Biometrika, 60(3), 589-597. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/60.3.589

Economics

Tong, Howell (Ed.) (1995). Chaos and forecasting (nonlinear time series & chaos). World Scientific (Firm).

Tong, Howell (Ed.) (1993). Dimension estimation and models. World Scientific (Firm).

Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability (1987). Non-linear time series models of regularly sampled data: a review. In Prohorov, Yu A, Sazonov, V V (Eds.), Proceedings of the 1st World Congress of the Bernoulli Society : Tashkent, Ussr, 8-14 September 1986 (pp. 355-367). VNU Science Press.

Fields Institute (1997). Some comments on nonlinear time series analysis. In Voiculescu, Dan-Virgil (Ed.), Free Probability Theory (pp. 17-27). American Mathematical Society.

Chan, W.S, Li, W.K, Tong, Howell (Eds.) (2000). Statistics and finance: an interface. Imperial College Press.

Adusumilli, Karun, Otsu, Taisuke (2017). Empirical likelihood for random sets. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 112(519), 1064 - 1075. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2016.1188107

Adusumilli, Karun, Otsu, Taisuke, Qiu, Chen (2023). Reweighted nonparametric likelihood inference for linear functionals. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 17(2), 2810 - 2848. https://doi.org/10.1214/23-EJS2168 picture_as_pdf

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank, Gaertner, W (2006). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi's utilitarian ethics. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank A., Gaertner, Wulf (2009). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi’s utilitarian ethics. Social Choice and Welfare, 32(2), 299-316. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-008-0324-x

Anderson, Gordon, Linton, Oliver, Leo, Teng Wah (2012). A polarization-cohesion perspective on cross-country convergence. Journal of Economic Growth, 17(1), 49-69. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-011-9072-3

Atkinson, Anthony B., Gomulka, J., Stern, Nicholas (1990). Spending on alcohol: evidence from the family expenditure survey 1970-1983. The Economic Journal, 100(402), 808-827.

Ayyar, Sree, Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke (2025). Conditional likelihood ratio test with many weak instruments. Econometric Theory, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466625000088 picture_as_pdf

Bandiera, Oriana, Caprio, Gerard, Honohan, Patrick, Schiantarelli, Fabio (2000). Does financial reform raise or reduce saving? Review of Economics and Statistics, 82(2), 239-263. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465300558768

Bassier, Ihsaan, Manning, Alan, Petrongolo, Barbara (2025). Vacancy duration and wages. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01580 picture_as_pdf

Benigno, Gianluca, Converse, Nathan, Fornaro, Luca (2015). Large capital inflows, sectoral allocation andeconomic performance. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1348). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance.

Besley, Timothy, Fetzer, Thiemo, Mueller, Hannes (2024). How big is the media multiplier? Evidence from dyadic news data. Review of Economics and Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01415 picture_as_pdf

Besley, Timothy, Jensen, Anders Ditlev, Persson, Torsten (2021). Norms, enforcement, and tax evasion. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1 - 28. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01123 picture_as_pdf

Camponovo, Lorenzo, Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke (2019). Empirical likelihood for high frequency data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2018.1549051 picture_as_pdf

Camponovo, Lorenzo, Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke (2021). Relative error accurate statistic based on nonparametric likelihood. Econometric Theory, 37(6), 1214 - 1237. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466621000074 picture_as_pdf

Camponovo, Lorenzo, Otsu, Taisuke (2014). On Bartlett correctability of empirical likelihood in generalized power divergence family. Statistics and Probability Letters, 86(1), 38-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2013.12.008

Carr-Hill, Roy A., Hope, Keith, Stern, Nicholas (1972). Delinquent generations revisited. Quality and Quantity, 6(2), 327-351. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00211911

Chan, K S, Moeanaddin, R, Tong, Howell (1992). Likelihood plots, influential data and reparametrization in nonlinear time series modelling. In Chao, Min-Te, Cheng, Philip E (Eds.), Proceedings of 1990 Taipei Symposium in Statistics (pp. 37-62). Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica.

Chan, K S, Pham, D T, Tong, Howell (1989). Strong consistency of the least squares estimator for a non-stationary threshold autoregressive model. Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 47th s(2), 202-203.

Chan, K S, Tong, Howell (2002). Dynamic model. In El-Shaarawi, Abdel H, Piegorsch, Walter W (Eds.), Encyclopaedia of Environmetrics (pp. 574-578). John Wiley & Sons.

Chan, K S, Tong, Howell (1990). On likelihood ratio tests for threshold autoregression. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 52(3), 469-476.

Chan, K S, Tong, Howell (1986). On tests for non-linearity in time series analysis. Journal of Forecasting, 5(4), 217-228. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.3980050403

Chan, K S, Tong, Howell (1987). A note on embedding a discrete parameter ARMA model in a continuous parameter ARMA model. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 8(3), 277-281. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1987.tb00439.x

Chan, K.S, Ho, L-H, Tong, Howell (2006). A note on time-reversibility of multivariate linear processes. Biometrika, 93(1), 221-227. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/93.1.221

Chan, K.S, Petruccelli, J.D, Woolford, S.W, Tong, Howell (1985). A multiple threshold AR(1)model. Journal of Applied Probability, 22(2), 267-279.

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell (1986). On estimating thresholds in autoregressive models. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 7(3), 179-190. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1986.tb00501.x

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell (1985). On the use of the deterministic Lyapunov function for the erogdicity of stochastic difference equations. Advances in Applied Probability, 17(3), 666-678.

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell (1986). A note on certain integral equations associated with non-linear time series analysis. Probability Theory and Related Fields, 73(1), 153-158. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01845999

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell (1984). A note on sub-system and system stability. Journal of Engineering Mathematics, 1(2), 43-51.

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell (1989). A survey of the statistical analysis of univariate threshold autoregressive models. In Mariano, R (Ed.), Advances in Statistical Analysis and Statistical Computing: Advances in Statistical Analysis and Statistical Computing (pp. 1-42). JAI Press.

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell, Pham, D.T (1991). Strong consistency of least-squares estimator for a non-ergodic threshold autoregressive model. Statistica Sinica, 1(2), 361-369.

Chan, K.S, Tong, Howell, Stenseth, Nils C (2004). Testing for common structures in a panel of threshold models. Biometrics, 60(1), 225-232. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2004.00151.x

Chan, Wai-Sum, Wong, Albert C S, Tong, Howell (2004). Some nonlinear threshold autoregressive time series models for actuarial use. North American Actuarial Journal, 8(4), 37-61.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1992). Consistent nonparametric order determination and chaos, with discussion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 54(2), 427-449.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (2000). Interval prediction of financial time series. In Chan, K.S, Li, W.K, Tong, Howell (Eds.), Statistics and Finance: an Interface (pp. 245-260). Imperial College Press.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1993). Nonparametric function estimation in noisy chaos. In Rao, T.Subba (Ed.), Developments in Time Series Analysis: in Honour of Maurice B.Priestley (pp. 183-206). Chapman and Hall.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1996). On delay co-ordinates in stochastic dynamical systems. In van Strien, S.J, Verduyn Lunel, S.M (Eds.), Stochastic and Spatial Structures of Dynamical Systems (pp. 29-37). North-Holland Publishing Company.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1993). On residual sums of squares in non-parametric autoregression. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 48(1), 157-174. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4149(93)90112-H

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1994). Orthogonal projection, embedding dimension and sample size in chaotic time series from a statistical perspective. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 348(1688), 325-341.

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1992). A note on one-dimensional chaotic maps under time reversal. Advances in Applied Probability, 24(1), 219-220. https://doi.org/10.2307/1427737

Cheng, B, Tong, Howell (1996). A theory of wavelet representation and decomposition for a general stochastic process. In Robinson, P.M, Rosenblatt, M (Eds.), Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series: Time Series Analysis in Memory of E.J. Hannan (pp. 115-129). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Cowell, Frank (2006). Inequality: measurement. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Jenkins, Stephen P (2000). Estimating welfare indices : household weights and sample design. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 48 48). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Litchfield, Julie, Mercader-Prats, Magda (1999). Income inequality comparisons with dirty data: the UK and Spain during the 1980s. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 45 45). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Schluter, Christian (1998). Measuring income mobility with dirty data. (CASEpaper CASE/16). Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, M.P. (2006). Distributional dominance with trimmed data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 24(3), 291-300.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (2001). Distributional dominance with dirty data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 51 51). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1998). Statistical inference for Lorenz curves with censored data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 35 35). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1999). Statistical inference for welfare under complete and incomplete information. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 47 47). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1996). Welfare judgements in the presence of contaminated data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 13). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (2002). Welfare rankings in the presence of contaminated data. Econometrica, 70(3), 1221-1234. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00324

Cowell, Frank A., Fleurbaey, Marc, Tungodden, Bertil (2015). The tyranny puzzle in social preferences: an empirical investigation. Social Choice and Welfare, 45(4), 765-792. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-015-0880-9

Cowell, Frank A., Van Kerm, Philippe (2015). Wealth inequality: a survey. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(4), 671-710. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12114 picture_as_pdf

Dabas, P, Tong, Howell (1990). Clusters of time series models: an example. Journal of Applied Statistics, 17(2), 187-198. https://doi.org/10.1080/757582830

Den Haan, Wouter J., De Wind, Joris (2012). Nonlinear and stable perturbation-based approximations. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 36(10), 1477-1497. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2012.05.001

Diks, C, Tong, Howell (1999). A test for symmetries of multivariate probability distributions. Biometrika, 86(3), 605-614. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/86.3.605

Dolan, Paul, Layard, Richard, Metcalfe, Robert (2011). Measuring subjective well-being for public policy. Great Britain. Office for National Statistics.

Foldes, Lucien (1978). Martingale conditions for optimal saving: discrete time. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 5(1), 83-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(78)90007-1

Galasso, Alberto, Schankerman, Mark (2024). Licensing life-saving drugs for developing countries: evidence from the medicines patent pool. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 106(6), 1529 – 1541. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01253 picture_as_pdf

Gao, J, Tong, Howell, Wolff, Rodney C (2002). Adaptive orthogonal series estimation in additive stochastic regression models. Statistica Sinica, 12(2), 409-428.

Gao, J, Wolff, R C L, Tong, Howell (2002). Model specification tests in nonparametric stochastic regression models. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 83(2), 324-359. https://doi.org/10.1006/jmva.2001.2058

Gao, Jiti, Tong, Howell (2004). Semiparametric non-linear time series model selection. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 66(2), 321-336. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1369-7412.2004.05303.x

Giraitis, Liudas, Kokoszka, Piotr, Leipus, Remigijus, Teyssière, Gilles (2000). Semiparametric estimation of the intensity of long memory in conditional heteroskedasticity. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 3(1-2), 113-128. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009951213271

Giraitis, Liudas, Robinson, Peter M., Samarov, Alexander (2000). Adaptive semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 72(2), 183-207. https://doi.org/10.1006/jmva.1999.1865

Giraitis, L., Robinson, P.M. (2003). Edgeworth expansions for semiparametric Whittle estimation of long memory. Annals of Statistics, 31(4), 1325-1375. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1059655915

Giraitis, L, Hidalgo, J, Robinson, Peter M. (2001). Gaussian estimation of parametric spectral density with unknown pole. Annals of Statistics, 29(4), 987-1023. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1013699989

Giraitis, Liudas, Leipus, Remigijus, Robinson, Peter M., Surgailis, Donatas (2004). LARCH, leverage, and long memory. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2(2), 177-210. https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfinec/nbh008

Giraitis, Liudas, Robinson, Peter M., Surgailis, Donatas (2000). A model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity. Annals of Applied Probability, 10(3), 1002-1024.

Hajivassiliou, Vassilis (2019). Estimation and specification testing of panel data models with non-ignorable persistent heterogeneity, contemporaneous and intertemporal simultaneity and observable and unobservable dynamics. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines. picture_as_pdf

Hau, M C, Tong, Howell (1990). A practical method for outlier detection in autoregressive time series modelling. Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics, 3(4), 241-260. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01543459

Hidalgo, Javier (2005). Semiparametric estimation for stationary processes whose spectra have an unknown pole. Annals of Statistics, 33(4), 1843-1889. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000318

Hidalgo, Javier (2003). An alternative bootstrap to moving blocks for time series regression models. (EM 452). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Hidalgo, Javier, Delgado, Miguel, Velasco, Carlos (2005). Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes. Annals of Statistics, 33(6), 2568-2609. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000606

Hidalgo, Javier (2021). Bootstrap long memory processes in the frequency domain. Annals of Statistics, 49(3), 1407 - 1435. https://doi.org/10.1214/20-AOS2006 picture_as_pdf

Hogh, N., Linton, Oliver, Nielsen, J.P. (2006). The Froot-Stein model revisited. Annals of Actuarial Science, 1(1), 37-47. https://doi.org/10.1017/S174849950000004X

Hualde, J., Robinson, Peter (2010). Semiparametric inference in multivariate fractionally cointegrated systems. Journal of Econometrics, 157(2), 492-511. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.04.002

Hualde, Javier, Robinson, Peter (2011). Gaussian pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation of fractional time series models. Annals of Statistics, 39(6), 3152-3181. https://doi.org/10.1214/11-AOS931SUPP

Huang, Hanwei, Ottaviano, Gianmarco Ireo Paolo (2023). Rethinking revealed comparative advantage with micro and macro data. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1964). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance. picture_as_pdf

Jeffrey, Andrew, Linton, Oliver, Nguyen, Thong (2006). Flexible term structure estimation: which method is preferred. Metrika, 63(1), 99-122. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-005-0017-8

Komarova, Tatiana (2013). A new approach to identifying generalized competing risks models with application to second-price auctions. Quantitative Economics, 4(2), 269-328. https://doi.org/10.3982/QE111

Komarova, Tatiana, Hidalgo, Javier (2023). Testing nonparametric shape restrictions. Annals of Statistics, 51(6), 2299 - 2317. https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOS2311 picture_as_pdf

Kotlyarova, Yulia, Schafgans, Marcia M. A., Zinde-Walsh, Victoria (2016). Smoothness: bias and effciency of nonparametric kernel estimators. In Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria, Hill, Carter R., Lee, Tae-Hwy (Eds.), Essays in Honor of Aman Ullah . Emerald Group Publishing. picture_as_pdf

Krueger, Alan, Pischke, Jorn-Steffen (1997). A statistical analysis of crime against foreigners in unified Germany. Journal of Human Resources, 32, 182-209.

Kurisu, Daisuke, Otsu, Taisuke (2025). Empirical likelihood for manifolds. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf043 picture_as_pdf

Kurisu, Daisuke, Otsu, Taisuke (2025). Model averaging for global Fréchet regression. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 207, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmva.2025.105416 picture_as_pdf

Lam, Clifford, Souza, Pedro C.L. (2015). Detection and estimation of block structure in spatial weight matrix. Econometric Reviews, https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2015.1085775

Li, Degui, Robinson, Peter M., Shang, Han Lin (2020). Long-range dependent curve time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 115(530), 957-971. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604362

Li, Degui, Robinson, Peter M., Shang, Han Lin (2023). Nonstationary fractionally integrated functional time series. Bernoulli, 29(2), 1505 - 1526. https://doi.org/10.3150/22-BEJ1508

Li, W K, Tong, Howell, Xia, Y, Zhang, D (2004). A goodness-of-fit test for single-index models. Statistica Sinica, 14(1), 1-28.

Li, W.K, Tong, Howell, Xia, Y (1999). On extended partially linear single-index models. Biometrika, 86(4), 831-842. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/86.4.831

Lim, K.S (1983). A statistical approach to difference-delay equation modelling in ecology- two case studies. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 4(4), 239-267. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1983.tb00372.x

Linton, Oliver (2002). Comment on "an adaptive estimation of dimension reduction space" by Y. Xia, H. Tong, and W.K. Li. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 64(3), p. 400. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.03411

Linton, Oliver, Hafner, Christian M. (2010). Efficient estimation of a multivariate multiplicative volatility model. Journal of Econometrics, 159(1), 55-73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.04.007

Linton, Oliver, Hardle, W, Sperlich, S (1999). Integration and backfitting methods in additive models-finite sample properties and comparison. Test, 8(2), 419-458. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02595879

Linton, Oliver, Nielsen, Jens Perch, Nielsen, Soren Feodor (2009). Non-parametric regression with a latent time series. Econometrics Journal, 12(2), 187-207. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2009.00278.x

Linton, Oliver, Rodríguez-Poo, Juan M. (2001). Nonparametric factor analysis for residual time series. Test, 10(1), 161-182.

Linton, Oliver, Sancetta, Alessio (2009). Consistent estimation of a general nonparametric regression function in time series. Journal of Econometrics, 152(1), 70-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.02.006

Linton, Oliver, Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. (1999). The existence and asymptotic properties of a backfitting projection algorithm under weak conditions. Annals of Statistics, 27(5), 1443-1490. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1017939138

Linton, Oliver, Whang, Yoon-Jae (2002). Nonparametric estimation with aggregated data. Econometric Theory, 18(2), 420-468. https://doi.org/10.1017.S0266466602182089

Linton, Oliver, Xiao, Zhijie (2001). Second-order approximation for adaptive regression estimators. Econometric Theory, 17(5), 984-1024. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466601175067

Manning, Alan, Mazeine, Graham (2024). Should I stay or should I go? Return migration from the United States. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1980). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance. picture_as_pdf

Marinucci, D, Robinson, Peter M (2001). Finite sample improvement in statistical inference with I(1) processes. (Econometrics EM/2001/422). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Marinucci, D., Robinson, Peter M. (2001). Narrow-band analysis of nonstationary processes. Annals of Statistics, 29(4), 947-986. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1013699988

Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke (2023). Empirical likelihood for network data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2023.2250091 picture_as_pdf

Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke (2020). Jackknife empirical likelihood: small bandwidth, sparse network and high-dimension asymptotic. Biometrika, https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asaa081 picture_as_pdf

Matsushita, Yukitoshi, Otsu, Taisuke, Takahata, Keisuke (2023). Estimating density ratio of marginals to joint: applications to causal inference. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 41(2), 467 - 481. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2022.2035228 picture_as_pdf

Moeanaddin, R, Tong, Howell (1990). Numerical evaluation of distributions in non-linear autoregression. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 11(1), 33-48. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1990.tb00040.x

Moenaddin, R, Tong, Howell (1988). On multi-step non-linear least-squares predication. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D: The Statistician, 37(2), 101-110.

Moenaddin, R, Tong, Howell (1988). A comparison of likelihood ratio test and CUSUM test for threshold autoregression. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D: The Statistician, 37(4/5), 493-494.

Moser, C. A., Layard, Richard, Irwin, J. O. (1964). Planning the scale of higher education in Great Britain: some statistical problems. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 127(4), 473-526.

Nielsen, Jens P., Linton, Oliver, Bickel, Peter J. (1998). On a semiparametric survival model with flexible covariate effect. Annals of Statistics, 26(1), 215-241. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1030563983

Otsu, Taisuke, Takahata, Keisuke, Xu, Mengshan (2023). Empirical likelihood inference for monotone index model. Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, 6(1), 103-114. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42081-023-00195-1 picture_as_pdf

Ozaki, T, Tong, Howell (1975-01-01) On fitting of non-stationary autoregressive models in time series analysis [Paper]. Proceedings of the 8th Hawaii International Conference on System Science, Hawaii, United States, USA.

Pemberton, J, Tong, Howell (1983). Threshold autoregression and some frequency-domain characteristics. Handbook of Statistics, 3, 249-273.

Pemberton, J, Tong, Howell (1981). A note on the distribution of non-linear autoregressive stochastic processes. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2(1), 49-52. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1981.tb00310.x

Pischke, Jorn-Steffen, Wachter, Till von (2008). Zero returns to compulsory schooling in Germany: evidence and interpretation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3), 592 - 598. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.3.592

Priestley, Mark, Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1974). Applications of principal component analysis and factor analysis in stochastic control systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-19, 730-734.

Priestley, Mark, Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1973). Identification of the structure of multivariate stochastic systems. In Krishnaiah, Paruchuri R (Ed.), Multivariate Analysis Iii . Academic Press.

Priestley, Mark, Tong, Howell (1973). On the analysis of bivariate non-stationary processes: with discussion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 35, 153-166.

Qiu, Chen, Otsu, Taisuke (2022). Information theoretic approach to high dimensional multiplicative models: stochastic discount factor and treatment effect. Quantitative Economics, 13(1), 63 - 94. https://doi.org/10.3982/QE1603 picture_as_pdf

Razin, Ronny (2016). Over-55s and men dominate online Brexit debate – and they’re persuasive, too.

Robinson, Peter (2005). Efficiency improvements in inference on stationary and nonstationary fractional time series. Annals of Statistics, 33(4), 1800-1842. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000354

Robinson, Peter (1977). Estimating variances and covariances of sample autocorrelations and autocovariances. Australian Journal of Statistics, 19(3), 236-240. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.1977.tb01091.x

Robinson, Peter (1973). Generalized canonical analysis for time series. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 3, 141-160.

Robinson, Peter (1984). Kernel estimation and interpolation for time series containing missing observations. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 36(1), 403-417. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02481979

Robinson, Peter (2009). Large-sample inference on spatial dependence. Econometrics Journal, 12(s1), S68-S82. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2008.00264.x

Robinson, Peter (1986). On the consistency and finite-sample properties of nonparametric kernel time series regression, autoregression and density estimators. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 38(1), 539-549. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02482541

Robinson, Peter (1982). On the convergence of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator. Australian Journal of Statistics, 24(2), 234-238. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.1982.tb00829.x

Robinson, Peter (1974). Stochastic difference equations with non-integral differences. Advances in Applied Probability, 6(3), 524-545.

Robinson, Peter, Dunsmuir, W (1981). Parametric estimators for stationary time series with missing observations. Advances in Applied Probability, 13, 129-146.

Robinson, Peter, Hannan, E J (1973). Lagged regression with unknown lags. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 35, 252-267.

Robinson, Peter, Thomson, P J (1996). Estimation of second-order properties from jittered time series. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 48(1), 29-48. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00049287

Robinson, Peter M. (2010). Efficient estimation of the semiparametric spatial autoregressive model. Journal of Econometrics, 157(1), 6-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.10.031

Robinson, Peter M. (2012). Inference on power law spatial trends. Bernoulli, 18(2), 644-677. https://doi.org/10.3150/10-BEJ349

Robinson, Peter M. (2012). Nonparametric trending regression with cross-sectional dependence. Journal of Econometrics, 169(1), 4-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.01.005

Robinson, Peter M. (2009). On discrete sampling of time-varying continuous-time systems. Econometric Theory, 25(04), 985-994. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466608090373

Robinson, Peter (2019). Spatial long memory. Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, https://doi.org/10.1007/s42081-019-00061-z picture_as_pdf

Robinson, Peter M. (2003). Denis Sargan: some perspectives. Econometric Theory, 19(3), 481-494. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466603193073

Robinson, Peter M. (1997). Large-sample inference for nonparametric regression with dependent errors. Annals of Statistics, 25(5), 2054-2083. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1069362387

Robinson, Peter M., Henry, M. (1999). Long and short memory conditional heteroskedasticity in estimating the memory parameter of levels. Econometric Theory, 15(3), 299-336. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466699153027

Romano, Alessandro, Sotis, Chiara, Dominioni, Goran, Guidi, Sebastián (2020). The scale of COVID-19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences. Health Economics, 29(11), 1482 - 1494. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4143 picture_as_pdf

Santos Silva, Joao, Tenreyro, Silvana (2011). Poisson: some convergence issues. Stata Journal, 11(2), 207-212.

Schafgans, Marcia M. A., Zinde-Walsh, Victoria (2026). Multivariate kernel regression in vector and product metric spaces. Journal of Econometrics, 253, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106168 picture_as_pdf

Schankerman, Mark, Pakes, Ariel (1985). Valeur et obsolescence des brevets: une analyse des statistiques de renouvellement des brevets européens. Revue Economique, (5), 917-942.

Shi, Chengchun, Zhang, Shengxing, Lu, Wenbin, Song, Rui (2022). Statistical inference of the value function for reinforcement learning in infinite-horizon settings. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 84(3), 765 - 793. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12465 picture_as_pdf

Siu, Tak Kien, Tong, Howell, Yang, Hailiang (2006). Option pricing under threshold autoregressive models by threshold Esscher transform. Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization, 2(2), 177-197.

Siu, Tak Kuen, Tong, Howell, Yang, Hailiang (2001). Bayesian risk measures for derivatives for random Esscher transform. North American Actuarial Journal, 5(3), 78-91.

Sorour, A E, Tong, Howell (1993). A note on tests for threshold-type nonlinearity in open loop systems. Journal of Applied Statistics, 42(1), 95-104.

Stenseth, N.C, Chan, K.S, Boonstra, S, Boutin, S, Krebs, C.J, Post, E, O'Donoghue, M, Yoccoz, N.G, Forchhammer, M.C & Hurrell, J.W et al (1999). Common dynamic structure of Canadian lynx populations within three geoclimate regions. Science, 285(5430), 1071-1077. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.285.5430.1071

Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1974). Identification of the covariance structure of state space models. Bulletin of the Institute of Mathematics and Its Applications, 11(5/6), 2001-203.

Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1973). On time-dependent linear stochastic control systems. In Bell, DJ (Ed.), Recent Mathematical Developments in Control . Academic Press.

Subba Rao, T, Tong, Howell (1972). A test for time-dependence of linear open loop systems. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 34, 235-250.

Sugiyama, T, Tong, Howell (1976). On a statistic useful for dimensionality reduction of linear stochastic systems. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 5(8), 711-721. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610927608827389

Thawornkaiwong, Supachoke (2012). Statistical inference on linear and partly linear regression with spatial dependence: parametric and nonparametric approaches [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Tong, Howell (1975). Autoregressive model fitting with noisy data by Akaike's information criterion. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, IT-21, 476-480.

Tong, Howell (1993). Between chance and chaos. Twenty-First Century, 20, 90-98.

Tong, Howell (2007). Birth of the threshold time series model. Statistica Sinica, 17(1), 8-14.

Tong, Howell (1980-05-01) Catastrophe in time series analysis? [Paper]. Journees de statistique, Toulouse, France, FRA.

Tong, Howell (1992). Contrasting aspects of nonlinear time series analysis. IMA Volumes in Mathematics and Its Applications, 45, 357-370.

Tong, Howell (1975). Determination of the order of a Markov chain by Akaike's information criterion. Journal of Applied Probability, 12(3), 488-497.

Tong, Howell (1982). Discontinuous decision processes and threshold autoregressive time series modelling. Biometrika, 69(1), 274-276. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/69.1.274

Tong, Howell (1979). Final prediction error and final interpolation error: a paradox? IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 25(6), 758 -759.

Tong, Howell (1976). Fitting a smooth average to noisy data. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, IT-22, 493-496.

Tong, Howell (1974). Frequency-domain approach to regulation of linear stochastic systems. Automatica, 10(5), 533-538. https://doi.org/10.1016/0005-1098(74)90054-5

Tong, Howell (1994). Is bilinear model an illusion? Statistique et Analyse des Donnees: Bulletin de L'association des Statisticiens Universitaires, 15, 57-60.

Tong, Howell (1975). Letter to the editor. Technometrics, 17, p. 393.

Tong, Howell (1977). More on AR model fitting with noisy data by AIC. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 23(3), 409-410.

Tong, Howell (2005). Non-linear time series analysis. In Encyclopedia of Biostatistics (pp. 3020-3040). John Wiley & Sons. https://doi.org/10.1002/0470011815.b2a12052

Tong, Howell (2002). Nonlinear time series analysis since 1990: some personal reflections. Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series, 18(2), 177-184. https://doi.org/10.1007/s102550200017

Tong, Howell (1989). Nonlinear time series models of regularly sampled data: a review. Progress in Mathematics, 18, 22-43.

Tong, Howell (1974). Note on the estimation of Pr{Y<X} in the negative exponential case. Technometrics, 16, p. 625.

Tong, Howell (1978). On a threshold model. In Chen, C (Ed.), Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing (pp. 575-586). Sijthoff & Noordhoff.

Tong, Howell (1978). On the asymptotic joint distribution of the estimated autoregressive coefficients. International Journal of Control, 27, 801-807. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207177808922411

Tong, Howell (1977). On the estimation of Pr{Y < X} for exponential families. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, R-26, 54-56.

Tong, Howell (1974). On time-dependent linear transformations of non-stationary stochastic processes. Journal of Applied Probability, 11(1), 53-62.

Tong, Howell (1992). Some comments on a bridge between nonlinear dynamicists and statisticians. Physica Didactica, 58, 299-303.

Tong, Howell (1973). Some comments on spectral representations of non-stationary stochastic processes. Journal of Applied Probability, 10, 881-885.

Tong, Howell (1977). Some comments on the Canadian Lynx data with discussion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 140(4), 432-436.

Tong, Howell (1999). Some recent nonparametric tools for time series data analysis. Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 53rd s(Tome 5), 387-390.

Tong, Howell (1988). Special issue on 'Statistical forecasting and decision-making'. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D: The Statistician, 37(2), 99-241.

Tong, Howell (1983). Threshold models in non-linear time series analysis. Lecture notes in statistics, No.21. Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Tong, Howell (1989). Threshold stability, non-linear forecasting and irregularly sampled data. In Hackl, P (Ed.), Statistical Analysis and Forecasting of Economic Structural Change (pp. 279-296). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Tong, Howell (1981). A note on a Markov bilinear stochastic process in discrete time. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2(4), 279-284. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1981.tb00326.x

Tong, Howell (1979). A note on a local equivalence of two recent approaches to autoregressive order determination. International Journal of Control, 29(3), 441-446. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207177908922709

Tong, Howell (1983). A note on delayed autoregressive process in continuous time. Biometrika, 70(3), 710-712. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/70.3.710

Tong, Howell (2000). A note on kernel estimation in integrated time series. In Chan, K.S, Li, W.K, Tong, Howell (Eds.), Statistics and Finance: an Interface (pp. 86-96). Imperial College Press.

Tong, Howell (1988). A note on local parameter orthogonality and Levinson-Durbin algorithm. Biometrika, 75(4), 788-789. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.4.788

Tong, Howell (1982). A note on using threshold autoregressive models for multi-step-ahead prediction of cyclical data. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 3(2), 137-140. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1982.tb00335.x

Tong, Howell (1995). An overview on chaos. In Titterington, D.M (Ed.), Complex Stochastic Systems and Engineering: Conference Proceedings (Institute of Mathematics and Its Applications Conference Serie (pp. 3-11). Oxford University Press.

Tong, Howell (2001). A personal journey through time series in Biometrika. Biometrika, 88(1), 195-218. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/88.1.195

Tong, Howell, Chan, K.S (2001). Chaos: a statistical perspective. Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Tong, Howell, Chan, K.S (2004). A note on testing for multi-modality with dependent data. Biometrika, 91(1), 113-123. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/91.1.113

Tong, Howell, Chan, K.S (2002). A note on the equivalence of two approaches for specifying a Markov process. Bernoulli, 8(1), 117-122.

Tong, Howell, Chan, W-Y T (1975). A simulation study of the estimation of evolutionary spectral functions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 24(3), 334-341.

Tong, Howell, Cheng, Bing (1998). K-stationarity and wavelets. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 68(1), 129-144. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-3758(97)00138-9

Tong, Howell, Gates, P (1976). On Markov chain modelling to some weather data. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 15(11), 1145-1151. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1976)015<1145:OMCMTS>2.0.CO;2

Tong, Howell, Ghaddar, D K (1981). Data transformation and self-exciting threshold autoregression. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 30, 238-248.

Tong, Howell, Hua, L K (1982). Some personal experiences in popularising mathematical methods in the People's Republic of China. International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 13(4), 371-386. https://doi.org/10.1080/0020739820130401

Tong, Howell, Li, W K (2001). Advanced methods. In Baltes, Paul B, Smelser, Neil J (Eds.), International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences (pp. 15699-15704). Elsevier (Firm).

Tong, Howell, Lim, K S (1980). Threshold autoregression, limit cycles and cyclical data- with discussion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 42(3), 245-292.

Tong, Howell, Ling, S (2007). Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold MA models. Bernoulli, 13(1), 161-168. https://doi.org/10.3150/07-BEJ5147

Tong, Howell, Ling, S (2005). Testing for a linear MA model against threshold MA models. Annals of Statistics, 33(6), 2529-2552. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000598

Tong, Howell, Matsuda, Y, Yajima, Y (2006). Selecting models with different spectral density matrix structure by the cross-validated log likelihood criterion. Bernoulli, 12(2), 221-249. https://doi.org/10.3150/bj/1145993973

Tong, Howell, Pemberton, J (1980). On stability and limit cycles of non-linear autoregression in discrete time. Cahiers du Centre d'études de Recherche Opérationnelle, 22(2), 137-148.

Tong, Howell, Siu, T.K, Yang, H (2004). On Bayesian value at risk: from linear to non-linear portfolios. Asian Pacific Financial Markets, 11(2), 161-184. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-006-9008-7

Tong, Howell, Siu, T.K, Yang, H (2004). On pricing derivatives under GARCH models: a dynamic Gerber-Shiu approach. North American Actuarial Journal, 8, 17-31.

Tong, Howell, Stockis, J-P (1998). On the statistical inference of a machine generated autoregressive AR(1) model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 60(4), 781-796. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00154

Tong, Howell, Subba Rao, T (1974). Linear time-dependent systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 19(6), 730-734.

Tong, Howell, Thanoon, B, Gudmundsson, G (1985). Threshold time series modelling of two Icelandic riverflow systems. Water Resources Bulletin, 21(4), 651-661. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1985.tb05380.x

Tong, Howell, Wang, S.R, An, H.Z (1983). On the distribution of a simple stationary bilinear process. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 4(3), 209-216. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1983.tb00369.x

Tong, Howell, Xia, Y (2006). Cumulative effects of air pollution on public health. Statistics in Medicine, 25(20), 3548-3559. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.2446

Tong, Howell, Xia, Y (2006). On efficiency of estimation for a single-index model. In Fan, J, Koul, H (Eds.), Frontiers in Statistics (pp. 63-85). Imperial College Press.

Tong, Howell, Xia, Y, Li, W.K (2007). Threshold variable selection using nonparametric methods. Statistica Sinica, 17(1), 265-288.

Tong, Howell, Xia, Y, Zhang, W (2004). Efficient estimation for semivarying-coefficient models. Biometrika, 91(3), 661-681. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/91.3.661

Tong, Howell, Xia, Y, Zhu, L (2002). An adaptive estimation of dimension reduction space, with discussion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 64(3), 363-410. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.03411

Tong, Howell, Yao, Qiwei (1998). Threshold models. In Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences (pp. 664-666). https://doi.org/10.1002/0471667196.ess0744.pub2

Tong, Howell, Yeung, I (1991). On tests for self-exciting threshold autoregressive-type nonlinearity in partially observed time series. Journal of Applied Statistics, 40(1), 43-62.

Tong, Howell, Yeung, I (1990). On tests for threshold-type non-linearity in irregularly space time series. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 34(4), 177-194. https://doi.org/10.1080/00949659008811226

Tong, Howell, Yeung, I (1991). Threshold autoregressive modelling in continuous time. Statistica Sinica, 1(2), 411-430.

Tong, Howell, Zhang, Z (2005). On time-reversibility of multivariate linear processes. Statistica Sinica, 15(2), 495-504.

Tong, Howell, Zhang, Z (2004). A note on stochastic difference equations and its application to GARCH models. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 20, 259-269.

Tong, Howell, Yao, Qiwei (1998). Cross-validatory bandwidth selection for regression estimation based on dependent data. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 68(2), 387-415. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-3758(97)00151-1

Tong, Howell, Yao, Qiwei (2000). Nonparametric estimation of ratios of noise to signal in stochastic regression. Statistica Sinica, 10(3), 751-770.

Tong, Howell, Yao, Qiwei (1994). On prediction and chaos in stochastic systems. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 348(1688), 357-369. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.1994.0096

Wu, Z.M, Tong, Howell (1982). Multi-step-ahead forecasting of cyclical data by threshold autoregression. In Anderson, O.D (Ed.), Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice Pt. 2, Proceedings of the International Conference Held in Dublin, Ireland, March 1982 (pp. 733-753). Elsevier (Firm).

Xia, Yingcun, Tong, Howell, Li, W K, Zhu, Li-Xing (2000). On the estimation of an instantaneous transformation for time series. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 62(2), 383-397. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00238

Xu, Mengshan, Otsu, Taisuke (2020). Score estimation of monotone partially linear index model. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 32(4), 838-863. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2020.1834105 picture_as_pdf

Yao, Qiwei, Finkenstädt, Bärbel F., Tong, Howell (2001). A conditional density approach to the order determination of time series. Statistics and Computing, 11(3), 229-240. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1016600304293

Yao, Qiwei, Tong, Howell (1995). On initial-condition sensitivity and prediction in nonlinear stochastic systems. Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 50(4), 395-412.

Yao, Qiwei, Tong, Howell (1994). On subset selection in non-parametric stochastic regression. Statistica Sinica, 4(1), 51-70.

Yao, Qiwei, Yang, Wengyan, Tong, Howell (2001). Bootstrap estimation of actual significance levels for tests based on estimated nuisance parameters. Statistics and Computing, 11(4), 367-371. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1011977221590

Young, Alwyn (1995). The tyranny of numbers: confronting the statistical realities of the East Asian growth experience. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(3), 641-680. https://doi.org/10.2307/2946695

Zhang, Wenyang, Yao, Qiwei, Tong, Howell, Stenseth, Nils Chr (2003). Smoothing for spatiotemporal models and its application to modeling Muskrat-Mink interaction. Biometrics, 59(4), 813-821. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2003.00095.x

Zhu, Nina, Wang, Yuqing, Yang, Shuwen, Lyu, Lixing, Gong, Kunyao, Huang, Xinyue, Huang, Siyi (2024). Structure characteristics and formation mechanism of the RCEP manufacturing trade network: an ERGM analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 635, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129488

European Institute

Anderson, Christopher Johannes, Sally, David (2016). Tutti i numeri del calcio: perché tutto quello che sapevi sul calcio è sbagliato. Bruno Mondadori (Firm).

Anderson, Christopher Johannes, Sally, David (2014). The numbers game: why everything you know about football is wrong. Penguin Books.

Begg, Iain (2015). Lies, damned lies and statistics on the UK’s EU membership.

Begg, Iain (2016). Lies, damned lies and yet more misleading statistics on Europe.

Norris, Maria (2015). Contesting identity and preventing belonging? An analysis of British counter terrorism policy since the Terrorism Act 2000 and the selective use of the terrorism label by the British Government. [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science.

Zhu, Yajing, Steele, Fiona, Moustaki, Irini (2020). A multilevel structural equation model for the interrelationships between multiple latent dimensions of childhood socio‐economic circumstances, partnership transitions and mid‐life health. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 183(3), 1029 - 1050. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12554 picture_as_pdf

Finance

Bretscher, Lorenzo, Julliard, Christian, Rosa, Carlo (2016). Human capital and international portfolio diversification: a reappraisal. Journal of International Economics, 99(1), S78-S96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.12.007

Danielsson, Jon (2015). What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon (2013). The new market-risk regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, James, Kevin R., Valenzuela, Marcela, Zer, Ilknur (2014). Model risk and the implications for risk management, macroprudential policy, and financial regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Zhou, Chen (2015). Why risk is hard to measure. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Shin, Hyun Song, Zigrand, Jean-Pierre (2004). The impact of risk regulation on price dynamics. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(5), 1069-1087. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(03)00113-4

Fruet Dias, Gustavo, Papailias, Fotis, Scherrer, Cristina (2023). An econometric analysis of volatility discovery. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2023.2292178 picture_as_pdf

Financial Markets Group

Bretscher, Lorenzo, Julliard, Christian, Rosa, Carlo (2016). Human capital and international portfolio diversification: a reappraisal. Journal of International Economics, 99(1), S78-S96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.12.007

Danielsson, Jon (2015). What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon (2013). The new market-risk regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, James, Kevin R., Valenzuela, Marcela, Zer, Ilknur (2014). Model risk and the implications for risk management, macroprudential policy, and financial regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Zhou, Chen (2015). Why risk is hard to measure. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Shin, Hyun Song, Zigrand, Jean-Pierre (2004). The impact of risk regulation on price dynamics. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(5), 1069-1087. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(03)00113-4

Foldes, Lucien (1978). Martingale conditions for optimal saving: discrete time. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 5(1), 83-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(78)90007-1

Hogh, N., Linton, Oliver, Nielsen, J.P. (2006). The Froot-Stein model revisited. Annals of Actuarial Science, 1(1), 37-47. https://doi.org/10.1017/S174849950000004X

Kalashnikov, Vladimir, Norberg, Ragnar (2002). Power tailed ruin probabilities in the presence of risky investments. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 98(2), 211-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4149(01)00148-X

Kleffe, Jürgen, Norberg, Ragnar (2001). Minimum norm estimation of variance components for life insurance data. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 30(8/9), 1591-1603. https://doi.org/10.1081/STA-100105686

Linton, Oliver (2002). Comment on "an adaptive estimation of dimension reduction space" by Y. Xia, H. Tong, and W.K. Li. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 64(3), p. 400. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.03411

Linton, Oliver, Hafner, Christian M. (2010). Efficient estimation of a multivariate multiplicative volatility model. Journal of Econometrics, 159(1), 55-73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.04.007

Linton, Oliver, Nielsen, Jens Perch, Nielsen, Soren Feodor (2009). Non-parametric regression with a latent time series. Econometrics Journal, 12(2), 187-207. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2009.00278.x

Linton, Oliver, Rodríguez-Poo, Juan M. (2001). Nonparametric factor analysis for residual time series. Test, 10(1), 161-182.

Linton, Oliver, Sancetta, Alessio (2009). Consistent estimation of a general nonparametric regression function in time series. Journal of Econometrics, 152(1), 70-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.02.006

Linton, Oliver, Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. (1999). The existence and asymptotic properties of a backfitting projection algorithm under weak conditions. Annals of Statistics, 27(5), 1443-1490. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1017939138

Linton, Oliver, Whang, Yoon-Jae (2002). Nonparametric estimation with aggregated data. Econometric Theory, 18(2), 420-468. https://doi.org/10.1017.S0266466602182089

Linton, Oliver, Xiao, Zhijie (2001). Second-order approximation for adaptive regression estimators. Econometric Theory, 17(5), 984-1024. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466601175067

Mencia, Javier, Leon, Angel, Sentana, Enrique (2007). Parametric properties of semi-nonparametric distributions, with applications to option valuation. (Financial Markets Group Discussion Papers 597). Financial Markets Group, The London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Nielsen, Jens P., Linton, Oliver, Bickel, Peter J. (1998). On a semiparametric survival model with flexible covariate effect. Annals of Statistics, 26(1), 215-241. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1030563983

Gender Studies

Madhok, Sumi (2004). Heteronomous women? Hidden assumptions in the demography of women. In Unnithan-Kumar, Maya (Ed.), Reproductive Change, Medicine and the State: Ethnographic Explorations of Agency in Child Bearing (pp. 223-244). Berghahn Books.

Geography and Environment

Atkinson, Giles (1998). Discussion at the meeting on 'Alternatives to economic statistics as indicators of national well-being'. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 161(3), p. 307. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-985X.00110

Baum-Snow, Nathaniel, Henderson, J. Vernon, Turner, Matthew A., Zhang, Qinghua, Brandt, Loren (2016). When models fall short: Evidence from Chinese road infrastructure investments.

Dachis, Ben, Duranton, Gilles, Turner, Matthew A. (2012). The effects of land transfer taxes on real estate markets: evidence from a natural experiment in Toronto. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(2), 327-354. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr007

Dassios, Angelos, Zhao, Hongbiao (2011-05-26) A dynamic contagion process and an application to credit risk [Poster]. LSE Research Day 2011: The Early Career Researcher, London, United Kingdom, GBR.

Faggio, Giulia, Silva, Olmo, Strange, William C. (2017). Heterogeneous agglomeration. Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(1), 80-94. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00604

Freeman, Mark C., Groom, Ben, Panopoulou, Ekaterini, Pantelidis, Theologos (2015). Declining discount rates and the Fisher Effect: inflated past, discounted future? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 73, 32-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2015.06.003

Gibbons, Stephen (14 July 2011) Crime nudge. Spatial Economics Research Centre Blog. picture_as_pdf

Gibbons, Stephen (2013). Do student satisfaction ratings affect university choices? New evidence about the National Student Survey.

Gibbons, Stephen, Overman, Henry G., Patacchini, Eleonora (2015). Spatial methods. In Duranton, Gilles, Henderson, J. Vernon, Strange, William C. (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics (pp. 115-168). North-Holland. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59517-1.00003-9

Gordon, Ian R. (2018-05-09) From start to finish: a framework for the production of small area official statistics: discussion on the paper by Tzavidis, Zhang, Luna, Schmid and Rojas-Perilla [Paper]. Royal Statistical Society Discussion Meeting, The Royal Statistical Society, London, United Kingdom, GBR. picture_as_pdf

Gordon, Ian R., Champion, Tony, Coombes, Mike (2015). Urban escalators and interregional elevators: the difference that location, mobility, and sectoral specialisation make to occupational progression. Environment and Planning A, 47(3), 588-606. https://doi.org/10.1068/a130125p

Jessen, Jonas, Spieß, Christa Katharina, Waights, Sevrin (2022). Centre-based care and parenting activities. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 84(6), 1356 - 1379. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12505 picture_as_pdf

Lawless, Paul, Tyler, Peter, Overman, Henry G. (2011). Strategies for underperforming places. (SERC Policy Papers SERCPP006). The London School of Economics and Political Science, Spatial Economics Research Centre.

Millner, Antony, Calel, Raphael (2012). Are first-borns more likely to attend Harvard? Significance, 9(3), 37-39. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2012.00576.x

Neumayer, Eric, Plümper, Thomas (2017). Robustness tests for quantitative research. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108233590

Neumayer, Eric, Plümper, Thomas (2012). Conditional spatial policy dependence: theory and model specification. Comparative Political Studies, 45(7), 819-849. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414011429066

Neumayer, Eric, Plümper, Thomas (2016). W. Political Science Research and Methods, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2014.40

Schneider, Nicolas, Strielkowski, Wadim (2023). Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications. Physica A, 618, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.128685

Weihmayer, Melissa, Le Voir, Rosanna, Cardona-Fox, Gabriel (5 May 2022) Data with a purpose? Reflecting on the UN High Level Panel on Internal Displacement's recommendation on IDP data. Researching Internal Displacement blog.

Government

Hix, Simon (2015). When MEPs vote, the UK’s delegation is increasingly marginalised.

Hortala-Vallve, Rafael, Llorente-Saguer, Aniol (2012). Pure strategy Nash equilibria in non-zero sum colonel Blotto games. International Journal of Game Theory, 41(2), 331-343. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00182-011-0288-4

Leeper, Thomas J., Hobolt, Sara, Tilley, James (2020). Measuring subgroup preferences in conjoint experiments. Political Analysis, 28(2), 207 - 221. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2019.30 picture_as_pdf

Marbach, Moritz, Vallizadeh, Ehsan, Harder, Niklas, Hangartner, Dominik, Hainmueller, Jens (2025). Does ad hoc language training improve the economic integration of refugees? Evidence from Germany's response to the Syrian refugee crisis. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 188(4), 1168 - 1183. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnae106 picture_as_pdf

Sanders, James, Lisi, Giulio, Schonhardt-Bailey, Cheryl (2018). Themes and topics in parliamentary oversight hearings: a new direction in textual data analysis. Statistics, Politics and Policy, https://doi.org/10.1515/spp-2017-0012

Scully, Roger, Hix, Simon, Farrell, David M. (2012). National or European parliamentarians?: evidence from a new survey of the Members of the European Parliament. Journal of Common Market Studies, 50(4), 670-683. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2012.02250.x

Grantham Research Institute

Ding, Yihong, Robinson, Elizabeth, Balcombe, Kelvin (2025). The role of experience in climate adaptation: evidence from a field experiment in China. China Economic Review, 94(Part B). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102589 picture_as_pdf

Fouquet, Roger, Broadberry, Stephen (2015). Seven centuries of European economic growth and decline. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(4), 227-244. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.29.4.227

Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A. (2015). An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192(12), 3979-4008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0739-8

Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus, Frisch, Mathias (2021). On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change, 169(1-2). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03267-x picture_as_pdf

Millner, Antony, Calel, Raphael, Stainforth, David A., MacKerron, George (2012). Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists' uncertainty about climate change? Climatic Change, 116(2), 427-436. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0620-4

Taschini, Luca, Urech, Simon (2010). The real option to fuel switch in the presence of expected windfall profits under the EU Emission Trading Scheme. Journal of Energy Markets,

Zhu, Yajing, Steele, Fiona, Moustaki, Irini (2020). A multilevel structural equation model for the interrelationships between multiple latent dimensions of childhood socio‐economic circumstances, partnership transitions and mid‐life health. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 183(3), 1029 - 1050. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12554 picture_as_pdf

Health Policy

Osipenko, Leeza (2 April 2020) The Locked-down: we need more than headline statistics to understand the impact of Covid-19. Impact of Social Sciences Blog. picture_as_pdf

Ouannas, Adel, Batiha, Iqbal M., Bekiros, Stelios, Liu, Jinping, Jahanshahi, Hadi, Aly, Ayman A., Alghtani, Abdulaziz H. (2021). Synchronization of the glycolysis reaction-diffusion model via linear control law. Entropy, 23(11). https://doi.org/10.3390/e23111516 picture_as_pdf

Wouters, Olivier J., Kesselheim, Aaron S., Kuha, Jouni, Luyten, Jeroen (2024). Sales revenues for new therapeutic agents approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration from 1995 to 2014: a retrospective study. Value in Health, 27(10), 1373 - 1381. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2024.06.015 picture_as_pdf

International Development

Duursma, Allard (2017). Data synthesis paper, July 2017. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Duursma, Allard, Twagiramungu, Noel, Gebrehiwot Berhe, Mulugeta, De Waal, Alex (2019). Introducing the transnational conflict in Africa dataset. (Ocacasional Paper 20). World Peace Foundation. picture_as_pdf

Dyson, Tim (2008). How to save a crowded planet: a review essay. Population and Development Review, 34(3), 347-355. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00237.x

Dyson, Tim (2008). India’s demographic transition and its consequences for development. In Kapila, Uma (Ed.), India's Economic Development Since 1947 . Academic Foundation.

Dyson, Tim (2009). New evidence on child mortality in Iraq. Economic and Political Weekly, XLIV(2), 56-59.

Dyson, Tim (2008). A call to arms: the scientific and substantive importance of the historical demography of India. Demography India, 37(2), 177-192.

Dyson, Tim, Bhrolcháin, M (2007). On causation in demography. Population and Development Review, 33(1), 1-36. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2007.00157.x

Fairfield, Tasha, Charman, Andrew (2019). A Dialogue with the Data: the Bayesian foundations of iterative research in qualitative social science. Perspectives on Politics, 17(1), 154-167. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592718002177

Fairfield, Tasha, Charman, Andrew (2017). Explicit Bayesian analysis for process tracing: guidelines, opportunities, and caveats. Political Analysis, 25(3), 363 - 380. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2017.14

Gutiérrez Sanín, Francisco (2009). The quandaries of coding and ranking: evaluating poor state performance indexes. (Crisis States Research Centre working papers series 2 58). Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Gutiérrez Sanín, Francisco, González Peña, Andrea (2009). Force and ambiguity: evaluating sources for cross-national research – the case of military interventions. (Crisis States Research Centre working papers series 2 50). Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Meagher, Kate (19 May 2023) African paradox or poor numbers? Informality, COVID-19, and the decolonization of statistics. International Development. picture_as_pdf

Nathan, Laurie (2005). ‘The frightful inadequacy of most of the statistics’: a critique of Collier and Hoeffler on causes of civil war. (Crisis States Research Centre discussion papers 11). Crisis States Research Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Parker, Melissa, Allen, Tim (2011). Does mass drug administration for the integrated treatment of neglected tropical diseases really work?: assessing evidence for the control of schistosomiasis and soil-transmitted helminths in Uganda. Health Research Policy and Systems, 9(3), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1186/1478-4505-9-3

Strong, Joe, Nandagiri, Rishita, Randall, Sara, Coast, Ernestina (2023). Qualitative research in demography: marginal and marginalised. In Liamputtong, Pranee (Ed.), How to Conduct Qualitative Research in Social Science (pp. 147 - 163). Edward Elgar. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781800376199.00015 picture_as_pdf

Wade, Robert H. (2014). Market versus state or market with state: how to impart directional thrust. Development and Change, 45(4), 777-798. https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12099

von Borzyskowski, Inken, Wahman, Michael (2018). Systematic measurement error in election violence data: causes and consequences. British Journal of Political Science, picture_as_pdf

International Growth Centre

Ali, Salamat (2016). Trade costs and potential: removing barriers to growth in Pakistan.

Baum-Snow, Nathaniel, Henderson, J. Vernon, Turner, Matthew A., Zhang, Qinghua, Brandt, Loren (2016). When models fall short: Evidence from Chinese road infrastructure investments.

Bell, Clive, Squire, Lyn (2016). Can drawing on preliminary findings boost the impact of evidence on policymaking?

Dehejia, Rajeev, Pop-Eleches, Cristian, Samii, Cyrus (2016). From local to global: extrapolating experiments.

Franklin, Simon, Caria, Stefano (2016). Curse of anonymity or tyranny of distance? The impacts of job-search support in urban Ethiopia.

Hammer, Jeffrey (2016). Is ‘big data’ over-hyped? The importance of good data for improving health policy in Punjab.

Kaul, Upaasna (2016). New IGC annual report.

Sebastio, Filippo (2016). Data-Jam: could data reduce road congestion in Dhaka?

International Inequalities Institute

Colcerasa, Francesco, Giammei, Lorenzo, Subioli, Francesca (2025). The network of injustice: a novel approach to inequality of opportunity. (III Working Paper 150). International Inequalities Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science. https://doi.org/10.21953/lse.mgz7nuymggcl picture_as_pdf

Ferreira, Francisco H. G. (26 March 2024) Do we even know how much income inequality there is? LSE Inequalities. picture_as_pdf

Olivera, Javier, Schokkaert, Erik, van Kerm, Philippe (2024). The role of information in eliciting support for inheritance taxation. (III Working Paper 157). International Inequalities Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

LSE

Alam, Khurshed (2015). Expanding the reach of microcredit through livelihood mapping: a model.

Alpern, Steve, Fokkink, Robbert, Lindelauf, Roy, Olsder, Geert Jan (2009). A numerical approach to the ‘Princess and Monster’ game on an interval. In Bernhard, Pierre, Gaitsgory, Vladimir, Pourtallier, Odile (Eds.), Advances in Dynamic Games and Their Applications (pp. 149-157). Birkhaeuser Verlag AG. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4834-3_9

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, F (1997). The measurement of poverty : an experimental questionnaire investigation. Empirical Economics, 22(4), 571-588.

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank (1998). Distributional orderings and the transfer principle : a re-examination. Research on Economic Inequality, 8, 195-215.

Anonymous (2016). From studying EC455 to a summer internship at the OECD.

Atanasova, Dimitrinka (2015). Book review: digital humanitarians: how big data is changing the face of humanitarian response.

Aula, Ville (15 May 2020) The public debate around COVID-19 demonstrates our ongoing and misplaced trust in numbers. Impact of Social Sciences Blog. picture_as_pdf

Azadkia, Mona, Chatterjee, Sourav (2021). A simple measure of conditional dependence. Annals of Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AOS2073 picture_as_pdf

Bandyopadhyay, Sanghamitra (2013). Making sense of the Rajan report’s ranking of Indian states’ development.

Barigozzi, Matteo, Alessi, Lucia, Capasso, Marco, Fagiolo, Giorgio (2012). The distribution of household consumption-expenditure budget shares. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23(1), 69-91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2011.09.003

Bassier, Ihsaan, Manning, Alan, Petrongolo, Barbara (2025). Vacancy duration and wages. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01580 picture_as_pdf

Bates, Ron A., Maruri-Aguilar, Hugo, Wynn, Henry P. (2014). Smooth supersaturated models. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 84(11), 2453-2464. https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2013.823428

Bauchowicz, Stefan, Hänska, Max (2016). How Leave won Twitter: an analysis of 7.5m Brexit-related tweets.

Beiser-McGrath, Liam F. (2015). Estimating Onsets of Binary Events in Panel Data. Political Analysis, 23(4), 534 - 549. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpv019

Beiser-McGrath, Janina, Beiser-McGrath, Liam F. (2020). Problems with products? Control strategies for models with interaction and quadratic effects. Political Science Research and Methods, 8(4), 707 - 730. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.17 picture_as_pdf

Beiser-McGrath, Liam F. (2020). Separation and rare events. Political Science Research and Methods, 10(2), 428 - 437. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.46 picture_as_pdf

Bhuyan, Prajamitra, Jana, Kaushik, McCoy, Emma J. (2023). Causal analysis at extreme quantiles with application to London traffic flow data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 72(5), 1452 - 1474. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlad080 picture_as_pdf

Brinkley, Ian (2014). Overall good news on the labour market for employment – but much less so for productivity and real wages.

Bynum, Lucius E.J., Loftus, Joshua R., Stoyanovich, Julia (2024). A new paradigm for counterfactual reasoning in fairness and recourse. In Larson, Kate (Ed.), Proceedings of the 33rd International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2024 (pp. 7092-7100). International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence. https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2024/784 picture_as_pdf

Campi, Luciano, de Angelis, Tiziano, Ghio, Maddalena, Livieri, Giulia (2022). Mean-field games of finite-fuel capacity expansion with singular controls. Annals of Applied Probability, 32(5), 3674-3717. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AAP1771

Cetin, Umut (2012). Filtered Azéma martingales. Electronic Communications in Probability, 17, https://doi.org/10.1214/ECP.v17-2310

Chernyavskaya, Alexandra (2015). What parents need to know: latest trends in children’s internet use.

Chwalisz, Claudia (2015). The cry of populism signals a wider frustration with ‘politics as usual’, and greater use of deliberation could be the answer.

Cohen, Lucía (2012). Misestimation and misrepresentation: polling for the truth (guest blog).

Cowell, Frank (1999). Estimation of inequality indices. In Silber, Jacques (Ed.), Handbook on Income Inequality Measurement . Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Cowell, Frank, Jenkins, S P, Litchfield, J A (1996). The changing shape of the UK income distribution : kernel density estimates. In Hills, John (Ed.), New Inequalities : the Changing Distribution of Income and Wealth in the United Kingdom (pp. 49-75). Cambridge University Press.

Cross, Jamie (2014). Book review: visual insights: a practical guide to making sense of data by Katy Börner and David E. Polley.

Custódio, Leonardo (2014). Book review: methodological practices in social movement research edited by Donatella della Porta.

Dang, Hai Anh H., Jolliffe, Dean, Serajuddin, Umar, Stacy, Brian (2024). Country statistical capacity: a recent assessment tool and further reflections on the way forward. Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 40(2), 211 - 225. https://doi.org/10.3233/SJI-230093 picture_as_pdf

Darcy, Matthieu, Hamzi, Boumediene, Livieri, Giulia, Owhadi, Houman, Tavallali, Peyman (2023). One-shot learning of stochastic differential equations with data adapted kernels. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 444, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2022.133583

Dassoneville, Ruth, Hooghe, Marc (2014). The use of voter recall in election studies is unreliable, but shouldn’t be abandoned altogether.

Davies, Neil (2013). Advocates of RCTs in education should look more closely at the differences between medical research and education research.

DeCillia, Brooks (2016). From “Watchdog” to “Attackdog”: Media depictions of Jeremy Corbyn are an affront to democracy.

Dermott, Esther (2015). The evolution of gender and poverty in Britain: solo-living men are emerging as a new poor group.

Di Bucchianico, Alessandro, Wynn, Henry (2012). Editorial: quality and reliability engineering international special issue. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 28(5), p. 497. https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.1456

Dominitz, Jeff, Manski, Charles F. (2018). More data or better data? Using statistical decision theory to guide data collection.

Duarte, Belmiro P.M., Atkinson, Anthony C., Oliveira, Nuno M.C. (2024). Using hierarchical information-theoretic criteria to optimize subsampling of extensive datasets. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 245, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemolab.2024.105067 picture_as_pdf

Dunleavy, Patrick, Carrera, Leandro (2013). The rise of a robot state? New frontiers for growing the productivity of government services.

Feinstein, Zachary, Sojmark, Andreas (2021). Short communication: dynamic default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems. SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 12(4), SC83-SC97. https://doi.org/10.1137/20M1376765 picture_as_pdf

Filindra, Alexandra (2017). White Americans are much more likely to support gun rights than their non-white counterparts, but not because they want arms for self-protection.

Fisher, Stephen (2013). Local elections vote shares: the measures used to project local votes nationally are better than looking at the number of seats won or lost, but local voting does differ from general election vote intention.

Forbess, Alex (2014). Using data for campaigning journalism: Monique Villa at LSE.

Frank, Mark (4 June 2015) Unless we change the way we think about transparency, open data is unlikely to have a significant political impact at the local level. Democratic Audit Blog. picture_as_pdf

Galsworthy, Michael J., Davidson, Rob (2015). Debunking the myths about British science after an EU exit.

Gandrud, Christopher, Hallerberg, Mark (2015). Democratically elected politicians tend to push the cost of financial crises to the future in order to avert unpopularity.

Ghatak, Maitreesh, Ray, Debraj (2014). Please weight: when confronted by a large Indian statistic, divide by population.

Gibilisco, Paolo, Riccomagno, Eva, Rogantin, Maria Piera, Wynn, Henry P. (2009). Algebraic and geometric methods in statistics. Cambridge University Press.

Goodwin, Matthew (2015). How soft is the Leave vote – and which issues will swing it?

Goodwin, Matthew (2016). Matthew Goodwin examines five ways the Outers could win.

Goodwin, Matthew (2016). Matthew Goodwin’s round-up: Leave’s lead, the Boris effect and persuading the Undecideds.

Goodwin, Matthew (2016). Polls apart: why we need to treat all EU referendum polling with caution.

Grant, Charles, Koulovatianos, Christos, Michaelides, Alexander, Padula, Mario (2010). Evidence on the insurance effect of redistributive taxation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(4), 965-973. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00040

Greene, Zac, O’Brien, Diana (2016). New women MPs shift their party leftwards – but female leaders don’t.

Griffiths, Heather (2015). Why I am proud to have an Ology!

Grossman, Wendy (2015). Book review: disconnected: youth, new media and the ethics gap.

Grossman, Wendy (2016). ​Mining data and the database state.

Gyenis, Balázs, Rédei, Miklós (2004). When can statistical theories be causally closed? Foundations of Physics, 34(9), 1285-1303. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:FOOP.0000044094.09861.12

Hakim, Catherine (1978). Census confidentiality, microdata and census analysis. (Occasional papers 3). Office of Population Censuses and Surveys.

Hakim, Catherine (1978). Census data and analysis: a selected bibliography. (Occasional papers 6). Office of Population Censuses and Surveys.

Hakim, Catherine (1980). Census reports as documentary evidence: the census commmentaries 1801-1951. Sociological Review, 28(3), 551-580.

Hakim, Catherine (1977). Census-based area profiles: a review. (Occasional papers 2). Office of Population Censuses and Surveys.

Hakim, Catherine (1979). Community indicators. (Statistical information service Vol. 2). Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy.

Hakim, Catherine (1984). Data dissemination for the population census. Social Science Information Studies, 4(4), 273-282. https://doi.org/10.1016/0143-6236(84)90003-6

Hakim, Catherine (1978). Data dissemination for the population census: a data users' guide. (Occasional papers 11). Stationery Office.

Hakim, Catherine (1980). Integrated social data systems: the role of household censuses and surveys as sources of social, demographic and manpower data in Britain. Social Science Information Studies, 1(1), 13-21. https://doi.org/10.1016/0143-6236(80)90004-6

Hakim, Catherine (1981). Integrated social data systems: the role of household censuses and surveys as sources of social, demographic and manpower data in Britain. In Eade, D., Hodgson, J. (Eds.), Information Systems in Public Administration and Their Role in Economic and Social Development (pp. 159-168). North-Holland.

Hakim, Catherine (1978). Social and community indicators from the census. (Occasional papers 5). Stationery Office.

Hakim, Catherine (1994). Using the LS and the SARs in the context of research on occupational change. The OPCS Longitudinal Study, (8),

Hanefeld, Johanna, Lunt, Neil (2014). We need a better understanding of the effects of ‘medical tourism’ on health systems to have an informed debate about fairness and regulation.

Hanretty, Chris (2015). The 2015 election has been described as the most disproportional ever – but it wasn’t disproportional everywhere.

Hansen, Sakina (2025). Exclusion or efficiency: understanding perspectives about AI ethics among charity workers in the United Kingdom. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 294, 457 - 473. picture_as_pdf

Hawes, W. R., Hakim, Catherine (1982). Labour force and income statistics: text for course D291 Statistical Sources. Open University.

Heath, Oliver (2015). Why the UK’s pre-election polls got it so wrong: is it time to take probability sampling seriously?

Hofer-Szabo, Gabor, Rédei, Miklós, Szabo, László E. (2002). Common-causes are not common common-causes. Philosophy of Science, 69(4), 623-636. https://doi.org/10.1086/344625

Hosein, Ian (2007). The challenges for identity policy and the US context. US Federal Trade Commission.

Hu, Chun-Ping (2013). How audience data can improve content as well as traffic (Polis Summer School guest blog) #PolisSs.

Hussein, Shereen (2011). The use of 'large scale datasets' in UK social care research. (Methods review 5). NIHR School for Social Care Research.

Ingold, Jo, Monaghan, Mark (2016). Evidence-based policy and policy as ‘translation’: designing a model for policymaking.

Kotecha, Meena (2011). Enhancing students’ engagement through effective feedback, assessment and engaging activities. MSOR Connections, 11(2), 4-6. https://doi.org/10.11120/msor.2011.11020004

Kuha, Jouni, Butt, Sarah, Katsikatsou, Myrsini, Skinner, Chris J. (2017). Probing of "don't know'' responses in surveys. MethodsNews, 3(2017), p. 6.

Lanctot, Marc, Larson, Kate, Kaisers, Michael, Berthet, Quentin, Gemp, Ian, Diaz, Manfred, Maura-Rivero, Roberto Rafael, Bachrach, Yoram, Koop, Anna, Precup, Doina (2025). Soft condorcet optimization for ranking of general agents. In Vorobeychik, Yevgeniy, Das, Sanmay, Nowe, Ann (Eds.), Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, AAMAS 2025 (pp. 1253 - 1262). International Foundation for Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (IFAAMAS). picture_as_pdf

Lauderdale, Benjamin E. (2012). Book review: models as maps: the search for better explanations of political phenomena.

Lawlor, Eilís (2014). Book review: GDP: a brief but affectionate history by Diane Coyle.

Leal, Wanda, Mier, Carrie (2015). The relationship between drugs and crime differs by age.

Ledger, Sean, Søjmark, Andreas (2021). At the mercy of the common noise: blow-ups in a conditional McKean–Vlasov Problem. Electronic Journal of Probability, 26(none). https://doi.org/10.1214/21-EJP597 picture_as_pdf

Lehoucq, Fabrice, Kolev, Kiril (19 May 2015) Electoral fraud is less common in proportional representation systems than it is in plurality systems. Democratic Audit Blog. picture_as_pdf

Leonard, Meghan E., Ross, Joseph V. (2015). Elected and appointed justices face different constraints inwriting opinions.

Liu, W., Bretz, F., Hayter, A. J., Wynn, Henry (2009). Assessing nonsuperiority, noninferiority, or equivalence when comparing two regression models over a restricted covariate region. Biometrics, 65(4), 1279-1287. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2008.01192.x

Liu, Yirui, Qiao, Xinghao, Pei, Yulong, Wang, Liying (2024). Deep functional factor models: forecasting high-dimensional functional time series via Bayesian nonparametric factorization. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 235, 31709-31727. picture_as_pdf

Lordan, Grace, Pakrashi, Debayan (2013). Employers have a role to play in encouraging increased participation in physical activities.

MacWilliams, Matthew C. (2015). Forecasting models using Facebook data can be more accurate at predicting election outcomes than polling.

Macdonald, Stuart, Martinez, Luis (2005). Supporting local data users in the UK academic community. Ariadne, 44(July 2).

Martin, Susan Marie (2015). Book review: strengthening communities with neighborhood data.

Maruri-Aguilar, Hugo, Saenz-de-Cabezon, Eduardo, Wynn, Henry P. (2012). Betti numbers of polynomial hierarchical models for experimental designs. Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence, 64(4), 411-426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10472-012-9295-9

McClennen, Edward (2002). Bayesianism and independence. In Corfield, David, Williamson, Jon (Eds.), Foundations of Bayesianism (pp. 291-308). Kluwer Academic Publishers.

McKnight, Abigail (1995). Occupational and industrial classifications for the first destinations of higher education leavers. Higher Education Statistics Agency.

McKone Leonard, Mariel (20 February 2022) Book review: Data practices: making up a European people by Evelyn Ruppert and Stephan Scheel. LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) blog. picture_as_pdf

McKone Leonard, Mariel (19 January 2022) Book review: Data practices: making up a European people by Evelyn Ruppert and Stephan Scheel. LSE Review of Books. picture_as_pdf

McMillan, Lindsey (2014). Graduates who attended a private school have additional advantage in the labour market.

Middlekoop, Paul (2015). UN FORUM SERIES – radical transparency, or how to use public data for large scale social-impact assessments.

Milic, Thomas, Serdült, Uwe (2016). Were the Brits Swiss, they would still have voted to leave.

Miller, Helen, Pope, Thomas, Smith, Kate (2024). Intertemporal income shifting and the taxation of business owner-managers. Review of Economics and Statistics, 106(1), 184-201. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01166 picture_as_pdf

Morton, Alec, Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009). Fifty years of probabilistic decision analysis: a view from the UK. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60, S33-S40. https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2008.175

Nagel, Robert Ulrich (11 March 2019) Data on gender, WPS, and why counting women is not good enough. Women, Peace and Security. picture_as_pdf

Nuijten, Michèle B. (2018). statcheck - a spellchecker for statistics.

Papanicolas, Irene, Cylus, Jonathan, Smith, Peter (2013). What drives people’s perceptions of their health system? In the UK, overall satisfaction with the NHS is closely associated with GP performance.

Peled, Alon, Kippin, Sean (2016). Interview: Alon Peled on the public sector information exchange, avoiding disasters, and big data.

Persson, Jen (2016). School census changes add concerns to the richest education database in the world.

Pistone, Giovanni, Riccomagno, Eva, Wynn, Henry (2001). Computational commutative algebra in discrete statistics. Contemporary Mathematics, 287(Specia), 267-282.

Rasmussen, Aksel Kaastrup, Seizilles, Fanny, Girolami, Mark, Kazlauskaite, Ieva (2024). The Bayesian approach to inverse Robin problems. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 12(3), 1050 - 1084. https://doi.org/10.1137/23M1620624 picture_as_pdf

Revington, Nick (2015). North American cities aren’t just gentrifying, they’re youthifying as well.

Reyniers, Diane J. (1996). Coordinated search for an object hidden on the line. European Journal of Operational Research, 95(3), 663-670. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(96)00314-1

Rogers, Andrew (2016). How are black majority churches growing in the UK? A London Borough case study.

Rédei, Miklós, Summers, Stephen J. (2002). Local primitive causality and the common cause principle in quantum field theory. Foundations of Physics, 32(3), 335-355. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1014869211488

Saenz-de-Cabezon, E., Wynn, Henry P. (2013). Computational commutative algebra for tight network reliability bounds. In Steenbergen, R.D.J.M., Van Gelder, P.H.J.M., Miraglia, S., Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M. (Eds.), Safety, reliability and risk analysis: beyond the horizon (pp. 1271-1277). CRC Press.

Scully, Roger (2015). Going west: voters in Wales turn against the EU.

Sear, Rebecca, Steele, Fiona, McGregor, Ian A., Mace, Ruth (2002). The effects of kin on child mortality in rural Gambia. Demography, 39(1), 43-63.

Shah, Hemal (2012). Prosperity and social capital: is India missing out? picture_as_pdf

Shah, Hetan (2015). Our democracy relies on the quality of data in the public domain.

Sheerman, Barry (2013). Gambling on high streets in Britain: the government should take action to protect customers from what may be the predatory targeting of the disenfranchised.

Shonchoy, Abu, Wahhaj, Zaki (2023). Birth registration, child rights, and local governance in Bangladesh. In Faguet, Jean-Paul, Pal, Sarmistha (Eds.), Decentralised Governance: Crafting Effective Democracies Around the World (pp. 301 - 333). LSE Press. https://doi.org/10.31389/lsepress.dlg.k picture_as_pdf

Smith, Russell M. (2017). Cities of Color are a growing trend in America – and their long-term influence should not be underestimated.

Solomon, Sam (2016). Polling one billion: measuring public opinion in the world’s largest democracy.

Song, Na, Siu, Tak Kuen, Ching, Wa-Ki, Tong, Howell, Yang, Hailiang (2011). Asset allocation under threshold autoregressive models. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 28(1), 60-72. https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.897

Spencer, Nick (2016). Is religion good for you? Analysing three decades worth of academic research on the relationship between religion and well-being.

Spiegelhalter, David, Masters, Anthony (25 April 2022) COVID in statistics: numbers do not speak for themselves. LSE COVID-19 Blog. picture_as_pdf

Squires, Peter (2013). Youth justice policy is undergoing an important transition from ‘costly criminalisation’ to ‘precautionary risk management’.

Stewart, Neil (2017). Book review: the data librarian’s handbook by Robin Rice and John Southall.

Sáenz-de-Cabezón, Eduardo, Wynn, Henry P. (2009). Betti numbers and minimal free resolutions for multi-state system reliability bounds. Journal of Symbolic Computation, 44(9), 1311-1325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsc.2008.06.002

Tattersall, Andy (2016). 0 is the magic number: why small numbers matter just as much as large ones when we talk about altmetrics.

Thomason, Nicholas (2014). Book review: Political science research methods: exploring America at a crossroads by Cal Clark.

Thompson, Matthew J., Smith, Chris M. (2017). Citizen science and crowdsourced data collection, not government statistics, provide the most reliable count of citizen fatalities by police.

Tirone, Salvatore, Ghio, Maddalena, Livieri, Giulia, Giovannetti, Vittorio, Marmi, Stefano (2021). Kelly betting with quantum payoff: a continuous variable approach. Quantum, (5), https://doi.org/10.22331/Q-2021-09-21-545 picture_as_pdf

Toledo Bastos, Marco (2013). Newsmaking in the Twittersphere – some new international data on how journalism flows through the microblog network (guest blog) #twitter.

Trumm, Siim, Sudulich, Laura (2016). When parties engage voters on the ground, they intensify public interest in elections and improve turnout.

Van Reen, John (2013). The (not-so) green shoots of recovery.

Velasco, C, Robinson, Peter (2000). Whittle pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation for nonstationary time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 95(452), 1229 - 1243. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2000.10474323

Vicol, Dora Olivia, Allen, William (2014). How has the UK national press described Bulgarians and Romanians?

Vis, Farida (2016). Research resilience: why academics and funders alike should care about #RIPTwitter.

Vukovic, Vuk, Lahdelma, Ilona (2017). New election prediction: Macron will win, but the race will be closer than opinion polls suggest.

Wheatley, Jonathan (2017). The “empty centre”: how voters’ views have polarised since 2015.

Wilkinson, Ellen (2012). The numbers game: LSE Library holdings on India (Part 1). picture_as_pdf

Wilkinson, Ellen (2012). The numbers game: LSE Library holdings on India (Part 2). picture_as_pdf

Wilkinson, Sabrina (2018). Book review: news, numbers and public opinion in a data-driven world edited by An Nguyen.

Wilks-Heeg, Stuart (2010). Do referendums ever resolve constitutional debates?

Wintersieck, Amanda (2017). Real-time fact-checking can change people’s opinion about a candidate, but only if the ratings are decisive.

Wlezien, Christopher (2017). The public may not be getting the policies they want, but it’s very hard to measure what they do want.

Woolham, John (2011). Research governance and ethics for adult social care research: procedures, practices and challenges. (Methods review 4). NIHR School for Social Care Research.

Worthy, Ben, Langehennig, Stefanie (1 June 2020) How data-driven democracy both helps and hinders politics. British Politics and Policy at LSE. picture_as_pdf

Wynn, Henry, Ograjensek, Irena (2010). Is statistics becoming the number one discipline for business and industry? Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 26(8), 789-793. https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.1152

Yi, Jialin, Vojnović, Milan (2023). On regret-optimal cooperative nonstochastic multi-armed bandits. Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2023-M, 1329-1335. https://doi.org/10.5555/3545946.3598780

LSE Cities

International Bank for Reconstruction and Development City of Barcelona (2012-10-08 - 2012-10-10) What constitutes a metropolitan health advantage? [Paper]. 6th Urban Research and Knowledge Symposium - rethinking cities: framing the future, organised by the World Bank and Barcelona City Council, Barcelona, Spain, ESP.

Paccoud, Antoine (2012-09-12 - 2012-09-14) Comparing the health and wealth performance of metropolitan regions [Paper]. International Association of Official Statistics (IAOS) Annual Conference, Kiev, Ukraine, UKR.

Paccoud, Antoine (2013). Country of birth in the 2011 Census: a view of migration in London and English local authorities. (Ordinary streets working papers). LSE Cities programme.

LSE Health

Instituti i Statistikës (INSTAT) (2002). Demography of Albania: historical trends. In Popullsia e Shqipërisë 2001 . Instituti i Statistikës (Albania).

Bevan, Gwyn (2004). Qualitaetsberichterstattung in England seit 1997. In Schellschmidt, Henner, Klauber, Jurgen, Robra, Bernt P. (Eds.), Krankenhaus-Report 2004 (pp. 95-110). Schattauer Verlag.

Chambers, James D., Naci, Huseyin, Wouters, Olivier J., Pyo, Junhee, Gunjal, Shalak, Kennedy, Ian R., Hoey, Mark G., Winn, Aaron, Neumann, Peter J. (2015). An assessment of the methodological quality of published network meta-analyses: a systematic review. PLOS ONE, 10(4). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121715

Coast, Ernestina, Randall, Sara, Fanghanel, Alex, Lelievre, Eva, Ba-Gning, Sadio (2012-06-13 - 2012-06-16) Sofa surfers and shed dwellers: new living arrangements and household surveys in the UK and France [Paper]. European Population Conference, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, SWE.

Cylus, Jonathan, Mladovsky, Philipa, McKee, Martin (2012). Is there a statistical relationship between economic crises and changes in government health expenditure growth?: an analysis of twenty-four European countries. Health Services Research, 47(6), 2204-2224. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6773.2012.01428.x

Fanghanel, Alex, Coast, Ernestina, Randall, Sara (2012-06-13 - 2012-06-16) Mapping intergenerational care across households in the UK: analysing proximity, propinquity and resources in the "tacit intergenerational contract" [Paper]. European Population Conference, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, SWE.

Gjonça, Arjan, Misha, Arjana, Kapllani, Elda, Xhillari, Lindita, Murthi, Manuela (2004). Living conditions and inequality in Albania. (2001 Population and housing census). Instituti i Statistikës (Albania).

Kriel, Antoinette, Randall, Sara, Coast, Ernestina, Risenga, Arthur, Nyambura, Melissa (2012-07-01 - 2012-07-04) From design to practice: how can large-scale household surveys better represent the complexities of the social units under investigation? [Paper]. XVIII South African Sociological Association Annual Congress: Knowledge, Technologies and Social Change, Cape Town, South Africa, ZAF.

Murphy, Michael J. (2015). John Hajnal 1924-2008. In Johnston, Ron (Ed.), Biographical Memoirs of Fellows of the British Academy (pp. 251-269). Oxford University Press / The British Academy.

Murphy, Michael J., Grundy, Emily (2003). Mothers with living children and children with living mothers: the role of fertility and mortality in the period 1911-2050. Population Trends, 112(1), 36-44.

Ni Bhrolchain, Maire, Beaujouan, Éva, Murphy, Michael J. (2011). Sources of error in reported childlessness in a continuous British household survey. Population Studies, 65(3), 305-318. https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2011.607901

Seymour, Janelle, McNamee, Paul, Scott, Anthony, Tinelli, Michela (2010). Shedding new light onto the ceiling and floor?: a quantile regression approach to compare EQ-5D and SF-6D responses. Health Economics, 19(6), 683-696. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.1505

Seymour, Janelle, McNamee, Paul, Scott, Anthony, Tinelli, Michela, Bond, Christine (2007-07-08 - 2007-07-11) Shedding new light onto the ceiling and floor?: a quantile regression approach to compare EQ-5D and SF-6D responses [Poster]. International Health Economics Association 6th World Congress: Explorations in Health, Copenhagen, Denmark, DNK.

Tinelli, Michela, Ryan, Mandy, Bond, C. (2011-02-09) Going beyond QALYs in randomised controlled trials: an application to pharmacy [Poster]. NIHR / MRC Methodology Workshop, London, United Kingdom, GBR.

Wang, Duolao, Murphy, Michael J. (2004). Estimating optimal transformations for multiple regression using ACE algorithm. Journal of Data Science, 2(4), 329-346.

LSE London

Gordon, Ian R., Champion, Tony, Coombes, Mike (2015). Urban escalators and interregional elevators: the difference that location, mobility, and sectoral specialisation make to occupational progression. Environment and Planning A, 47(3), 588-606. https://doi.org/10.1068/a130125p

Lifecourse, Ageing & Population Health

Cylus, Jonathan, Mladovsky, Philipa, McKee, Martin (2012). Is there a statistical relationship between economic crises and changes in government health expenditure growth?: an analysis of twenty-four European countries. Health Services Research, 47(6), 2204-2224. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6773.2012.01428.x

Grundy, Emily, Murphy, Michael J. (2001). Demographic trends over the next 20 years: ageing of the population and the health status of the older population. In Health Trends Review: Proceedings of a Conference Chaired by Professor Sir Michael Peckham, School of Public Policy, University . Great Britain. Treasury.

Murphy, Michael J., Grundy, Emily (2003). Mothers with living children and children with living mothers: the role of fertility and mortality in the period 1911-2050. Population Trends, 112(1), 36-44.

Management

Marsden, David, Redlbacher, Lydia (Eds.) (1984). Guide to sources of wages statistics in the European Community. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Marsden, David, Legg, Wilfrid, Redlbacher, Lydia, Reid, Magdalena (Eds.) (1984). Working time statistics: methods and measurement in the European community. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Marsden, David (Ed.) (1991). The future of European wage and labour cost statistics. Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Abell, Peter (2008). History, case studies, statistics, and causal inference. European Sociological Review, 25(5), 561-567. https://doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcn072

Abell, Peter (2011). Singular mechanisms and Bayesian narratives. In Demeulenaere, Pierre (Ed.), Analytical Sociology and Social Mechanisms . Cambridge University Press.

Bevan, Gwyn, De Poli, Chiara, Keng, Mi Jun, Raine, Rosalind (2020). How valid are projections of the future prevalence of diabetes? Rapid reviews of prevalence-based and Markov chain models and comparisons of different models' projections for England. BMJ Open, 10(3). https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-033483 picture_as_pdf

Conforti, Michele, Cornuéjols, Gérard, Zambelli, Giacomo (2013). Extended formulations in combinatorial optimization. Annals of Operations Research, 204(1), 97-143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-012-1269-0

De Meza, David, Reito, Francesco, Reyniers, Diane J. (2021). Too much trade: the hidden problem of adverse selection. Journal of Public Economics, 204, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104551 picture_as_pdf

Dobrow, Shoshana R. (2007-01-01) The development of calling: a longitudinal study of musicians [Paper]. Academy of Management Annual Meeting: Doing Well By Doing Good, Philadelphia, United States, USA. picture_as_pdf

Edwards, W., Phillips, Lawrence D. (1964). Man as tranducer for probabilities in Bayesian command and control systems. In Bryan, G.L., Shelley, M.W. (Eds.), Human Judgement and Optimality (pp. 360-401). John Wiley & Sons.

Estrin, Saul, Pissarides, Christopher (1993). Unemployment statistics in Central and Eastern Europe: The role of the Labour Force Survey. In Powers, S. (Ed.), Economic Statistics for Economies in Transition: Eastern Europe in the 1990s (pp. 212-231). United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Estrin, Saul, Uvalic, M. (2014). FDI into transition economies. Economics of Transition, 22(2), 281-312. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12040

Howard, J. V. (2009). Significance testing with no alternative hypothesis: a measure of surprise. Erkenntnis, 70(2), 253-270. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10670-008-9148-4

Kanazawa, Satoshi (1998). A possible solution to the paradox of voter turnout. Journal of Politics, 60(4), 974-995. https://doi.org/10.2307/2647727

Klein, David J., Brown, Adalsteinn, Huynh, Tai M., Bevan, Gwyn, Markel, Frank, Ottaway, Steven D., Pink, George, Zyblock, Myles (2013). Capital spending in healthcare: a missed opportunity for improvement? Ottawa, Canada.

Lichtenstein, Sarah, Fischhoff, Baruch, Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. In Kahneman, Daniel, Slovic, Paul, Tversky, Amos (Eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 306-334). Cambridge University Press.

Lindley, D.V., Phillips, L.D. (1976). Inference for a Bernoulli process (a Bayesian view). American Statistician, 30(3), 112-119.

Michel, Jesse S., Viswesvaran, Chockalingam, Thomas, Jeffrey (2011). Conclusions from meta-analytic structural equation models generally do not change due to corrections for study artifacts. Research Synthesis Methods, 2(3), 174 - 187. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.47

Michel, Jesse S., Viswesvaran, Chockalingam, Thomas, Jeffrey (2011-04-14 - 2011-04-16) Meta-analytic SEM: a model comparison with/without corrections for study artifacts [Poster]. 26th Annual Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology conference, Hilton, Chicago, United States, USA.

Moustaki, Irini (2000). A review of exploratory factor analysis for ordinal categorical data. In Cudeck, Robert, Dunn, Stephen, Sorbom, Dag (Eds.), Structural Equation Models: Present and Future (pp. 461-480). Scientific software international.

Ni, Zhifang, Phillips, Lawrence D., Hanna, George (2010). The use of Bayesian networks in decision making. In Athanasiou, Thanos, Debas, H., Darzi, Ara (Eds.), Key Topics in Surgical Research and Methodology (pp. 351-359). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71915-1

Palacios-Huerta, Ignacio (2004). Structural changes during a century of the world’s most popular sport. Statistical Methods and Applications, 13(2), 241-258. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-004-0093-3

Palacios-Huerta, Ignacio, Volij, Oscar (2004). The measurement of intellectual influence. Econometrica, 72(3), 963-977. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00519.x

Papadaki, Katerina, Friderikos, Vasilis (2012). Multi-rate control policies for elastic traffic in CDMA networks. Performance Evaluation, 69(10), 510-523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.peva.2012.06.001

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005). Bayesian belief networks. In Everitt, Brian, Howell, David (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science . Wiley-Blackwell.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005). Bayesian statistics. In Everitt, Brian, Howell, David (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science . Wiley-Blackwell.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1973). Bayesian statistics for social scientists. Thomas Nelson (Firm).

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1974). Book review: empirical Bayes methods by J.S. Maritz. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D: The Statistician, 23(2), 141-142.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1983). A theoretical perspective on heuristics and biases in probabilistic thinking. In Humphreys, P., Svenson, O., Vari, A. (Eds.), Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes (pp. 525-544). North-Holland Publishing Company.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984). A theory of requisite decision models. Acta Psychologica, 56(1-3), 29-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-6918(84)90005-2

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1970). The ‘true probability’ problem. Acta Psychologica, 34, 254-264. https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-6918(70)90021-1

Phillips, Lawrence D., Edwards, Ward (1966). Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 72(3), 346-354.

Phillips, Lawrence D., Wisniewski, Thomas K. (1983). Bayesian models for computer-aided underwriting. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D: The Statistician, 32(1/2), 252-263.

Phillips, Lawrence D., Wright, G.N. (1977). Cultural differences in viewing uncertainty and assessing probabilities. In Jungermann, Helmut, de Zeeuw, Gerard (Eds.), Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs (pp. 507-515). D. Reidel Publishing Company.

Priest, Oliver, Phillips, Lawrence D., Hanna, George B. (2014). Risks of using bedside tests to verify nasogastric tube position in adult patients. European Medical Journal Gastroenterology, 3, 49-56.

Mathematics

Acciaio, Beatrice, Veraguas, Julio Backhoff, Jia, Junchao (2021). Cournot-Nash equilibrium and optimal transport in a dynamic setting. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 59(3), 2273 - 2300. https://doi.org/10.1137/20M1321462

Batu, Tugkan, Berenbrink, Petra, Sohler, Christian (2009). A sublinear-time approximation scheme for bin packing. Theoretical Computer Science, 410(47-49), 5082-5092. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcs.2009.08.006

Belomestny, Denis, Gapeev, Pavel V. (2006). An iteration procedure for solving integral equations related to optimal stopping problems. (SFB 649 discussion paper). Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.

Biggs, Norman (2009). Tutte polynomials of bracelets. (CDAM research reports series LSE-CDAM 2009-01). CDAM: Computational, Discrete and Applicable Mathematics@LSE.

Bingham, N. H. (2009). Five questions. In Hajek, Alan, Hendricks, Vincent F. (Eds.), Probability and Statistics: 5 Questions (pp. 1-11). Automatic/ VIP Press.

Bingham, N. H., Ostaszewski, A. J. (2009). Automatic continuity: subadditivity, convexity, uniformity. Aequationes Mathematicae, 78(3), 257-270. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00010-009-2982-x

Bingham, N. H., Ostaszewski, A. J. (2009). The Index Theorem of topological regular variation and its applications. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 358(2), 238-248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2009.03.071

Bingham, N. H., Ostaszewski, A. J. (2009). Infinite combinatorics in function spaces: category methods. Publications de L’institut Mathématique, 86(100), 55-73. https://doi.org/10.2298/PIM0900055B

Brightwell, Graham, Luczak, Malwina (2009). Order-invariant measures on fixed causal sets. arXiv.

Brightwell, Graham, Luczak, Malwina J. (2012). Order-invariant measures on fixed causal sets. Combinatorics, Probability and Computing, 21(03), 330-357. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0963548311000721

Brightwell, Graham, Luczak, Malwina J. (2012). Vertices of high degree in the preferential attachment tree. Electronic Journal of Probability, 17(0), 1-43. https://doi.org/10.1214/EJP.v17-1803

Brightwell, Graham, Patel, Viresh (2010). Average relational distance in linear extensions of posets. Discrete Mathematics, 310(5), 1016-1021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.disc.2009.10.016

Campi, Luciano, Cetin, Umut, Danilova, Albina (2013). Equilibrium model with default and dynamic insider information. Finance and Stochastics, 17(347), 565-585. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-012-0196-x

Campi, Luciano, Cetin, Umut, Danilova, Albina (2011). Dynamic Markov bridges motivated by models of insider trading. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 121(3), 534-567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2010.11.004

Cereceda, Luis, van den Heuvel, Jan, Johnson, Matthew (2009). Mixing 3-colourings in bipartite graphs. European Journal of Combinatorics, 30(7), 1593-1606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejc.2009.03.011

Cetin, Umut, Danilova, Albina (2021). On pricing rules and optimal strategies in general Kyle-Back models. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 59(5), 3973 – 3998. https://doi.org/10.1137/20M1319267 picture_as_pdf

Cetin, Umut, Danilova, Albina (2025). Order routing and market quality who benefits from internalization? Mathematical Finance, https://doi.org/10.1111/mafi.70014 picture_as_pdf

Danilova, Albina (2010). Stock market insider trading in continuous time with imperfect dynamic information. Stochastics: an International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 82(1), 111-131. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442500903106614

Feinstein, Zachary, Sojmark, Andreas (2021). Short communication: dynamic default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems. SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 12(4), SC83-SC97. https://doi.org/10.1137/20M1376765 picture_as_pdf

Fernholz, E. Robert, Karatzas, Ioannis, Ruf, Johannes (2018). Volatility and arbitrage. Annals of Applied Probability, 28(1), 378-417. https://doi.org/10.1214/17-AAP1308

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2006). Discounted optimal stopping for maxima in diffusion models with finite horizon. Electronic Journal of Probability, 11(38), 1031-1048.

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2007). Discounted optimal stopping for maxima of some jump-diffusion processes. Journal of Applied Probability, 44(3), 713-731. https://doi.org/10.1239/jap/1189717540

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2004). On arbitage and Markovian short rates for fractional bond markets. Statistics and Probability Letters, 70(3), 211-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2004.10.008

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2007). Perpetual barrier options in jump-diffusion models. Stochastics: an International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 79(1), 139-154. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442500601086381

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2005). The spread option optimal stopping game. In Kyprianou, A., Schoutens, W., Wilmott, P. (Eds.), Exotic Option Pricing and Advanced Levy Models (pp. 293-305). John Wiley & Sons.

Gapeev, Pavel V., Küchler, U. (2006). On Markovian short rates in term structure models driven by different jump-diffusion processes. Statistics and Decisions, 24(2), 255-271. https://doi.org/10.1524/stnd.2006.24.2.255

Gapeev, Pavel V., Kühn, C. (2005). Perpetual convertible bonds in jump-diffusion models. Statistics and Decisions, 23(1), 15-31. https://doi.org/10.1524/stnd.2005.23.1.15

Gapeev, Pavel V., Lerche, Hans Rudolf (2009). Discounted optimal stopping for diffusions: free-boundary versus martingale approach. (CDAM research report LSE-CDAM-2009-03). CDAM@LSE.

Gapeev, Pavel V., Peskir, G. (2006). The Wiener disorder problem with finite horizon. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 116(12), 1770-1791. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2006.04.005

Gapeev, Pavel V., Peskir, G. (2004). The Wiener sequential testing problem with finite horizen. Stochastics and Stochastic Reports, 76(1), 59-75. https://doi.org/10.1080/10451120410001663753

Gapeev, Pavel V., Reiss, M. (2006). An optimal stopping problem in a diffusion-type model with delay. Statistics and Probability Letters, 76(6), 601-608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2005.09.006

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2022). Discounted optimal stopping problems in continuous hidden Markov models. Stochastics: an International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 94(3), 335 - 364. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508.2021.1935952 picture_as_pdf

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2025). On Markovian sufficient statistics in non-additive disorder problems for jump-diffusion processes. In Chigansky, P., Kordzakhia, N. (Eds.), Statistics of Random Processes and Optimal Control - A.N. Shiryaev’s Festschrift . Springer. picture_as_pdf

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2020). On the problems of sequential statistical inference for Wiener processes with delayed observations. Statistical Papers, 61(4), 1529-1544. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-020-01178-0 picture_as_pdf

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2020). Optimal stopping problems for running minima with positive discounting rates. Statistics and Probability Letters, 167, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2020.108899 picture_as_pdf

Gapeev, Pavel V. (2005). The disorder problem for compound Poisson processes with exponential jumps. Annals of Applied Probability, 15(1A), 487-499. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051604000000981

Gapeev, Pavel V., Jeanblanc, Monique (2024). On the construction of conditional probability densities in the Brownian and compound Poisson filtrations. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, 28, 62 - 74. https://doi.org/10.1051/ps/2023022 picture_as_pdf

Gapeev, Pavel V., Jeanblanc, Monique, Wu, Dongli (2025). Projections in enlargements of filtrations under Jacod's absolute continuity hypothesis for marked point processes. Journal of Theoretical Probability, 38(4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-025-01445-6 picture_as_pdf

Johnson, Timothy C., Zervos, Mihail (2010). The explicit solution to a sequential switching problem with non-smooth data. Stochastics: an International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 82(1), 69-109. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442500903106606

Kardaras, Constantinos, Ruf, Johannes (2019). Projections of scaled bessel processes. Electronic Communications in Probability, 24, https://doi.org/10.1214/19-ECP246 picture_as_pdf

Larsson, Martin, Ramdas, Aaditya, Ruf, Johannes (2025). The numeraire e-variable and reverse information projection. Annals of Statistics, 53(3), 1015 - 1043. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-aos2487 picture_as_pdf

Luczak, Malwina J, McDiarmid, Colin (2006). On the maximum queue length in the supermarket model. Annals of Probability, 34(2), 493-527. https://doi.org/10.1214/00911790500000710

Luczak, Malwina J., Winkler, Peter (2004). Building uniformly random subtrees. Random Structures and Algorithms, 24(4), 420-443. https://doi.org/10.1002/rsa.20011

Pach, János, Swanepoel, Konrad J. (2015). Double-normal pairs in the plane and on the sphere. Beiträge zur Algebra und Geometrie / Contributions to Algebra and Geometry, 56(2), 423-438. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13366-014-0211-9

Qiao, Xinghao, Qian, Cheng, James, Gareth M., Guo, Shaojun (2020). Doubly functional graphical models in high dimensions. Biometrika, 107(2), 415 - 431. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asz072 picture_as_pdf

Ruf, Johannes, Wang, Weiguan (2022). Hedging with linear regressions and neural networks. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 40(4), 1442 - 1454. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2021.1931241 picture_as_pdf

Rupp, Rudolf, Sasane, Amol (2009). On the density of stabilizable plants in the class of unstabilizable plants: the real symmetric disk algebra case. Journal of the Franklin Institute, 346(8), 784-793. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfranklin.2009.04.004

Shi, Pucheng (2013). Study of new models for insider trading and impulse control [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Subasi, M., Subasi, E., Anthony, Martin, Hammer, P. L. (2009). Using a similarity measure for credible classification. Discrete Applied Mathematics, 157(5), 1104-1112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dam.2008.04.007

Media and Communications

Amadeus IT Group (2017). Managing every mile. LSE Consulting.

Beckett, Charlie (2008). Bloggers as beautiful dots (Media Re:publica conference: pt 2).

Beckett, Charlie (2011). Data visualisation in Davos: it’s beautiful but what’s it for?

Beckett, Charlie (2010). Data visualisation: looks great but what does it do?

Beckett, Charlie (2017). How we report elections: time for a new agenda for political journalism after the 2017 shock?

Beckett, Charlie (2007). NJ in NYC: the future of news?

Beckett, Charlie (2009). Political blog power: numbers and attention.

Beckett, Charlie (2008). YouGov wins London election.

Dini, Paolo (2021). Notes on the Exponential Random Graph Model: a contribution to the critique of interdisciplinarity. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Diobaye, Ndeye Diarra (2015). Should editors share analytics with journalists ?

Haddon, Leslie, Ponte, Cristina (2012). A Pan-European study on children's online experiences: contributions from cognitive testing. OBServatorio (OBS*), 6(2), 239-257.

Livingstone, Sonia (2015). As ever younger kids go online, how is the family responding?

Livingstone, Sonia (2016). Reading the runes to anticipate children’s digital futures.

Powell, Alison (2016). Making and measuring news: data and algorithms in journalism.

Methodology

Sturgis, Patrick, Bulmer, Martin, Allum, Nick (Eds.) (2009). The secondary analysis of survey data. SAGE Publications.

London School of Economics and Political Science (2014). Extending procedural justice theory: a Fiducia report on the design of new survey indicators. (Fiducia: new European crimes and trust-based policy). European Commission. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2613429

Bijlsma, Maarten J., Wilson, Ben (2020). Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 183(2), 493 - 513. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12520 picture_as_pdf

Bosch Jover, Oriol, Revilla, Melanie (2022). When survey science met web tracking: presenting an error framework for metered data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 185(Suppl 2), S408 - S436. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12956 picture_as_pdf

Bosch Jover, Oriol, Revilla, Melanie, Qureshi, Danish Daniel, Höhne, Jan (2022). A new experiment on the use of images to answer web survey questions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 185(3), 955 - 980. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12856 picture_as_pdf

Bosch Jover, Oriol, Sturgis, Patrick, Kuha, Jouni, Revilla, Melanie (2025). Uncovering digital trace data biases: tracking undercoverage in web tracking data. Communication Methods and Measures, 19(2), 157 - 177. https://doi.org/10.1080/19312458.2024.2393165 picture_as_pdf

Cornish, Flora, Gillespie, Alex, Zittoun, Tania (2013). Collaborative analysis of qualitative data. In Flick, Uwe (Ed.), The Sage Handbook of Qualitative Data Analysis (pp. 79-93). Sage Publications Ltd..

Curtice, John, Fisher, Stephen D., Kuha, Jouni (2011). Confounding the commentators: how the 2010 exit poll got it (more or less) right. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 21(2), 211-235. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2011.562612

De Bacco, Caterina, Contisciani, Martina, Cardoso Silva, Jon, Safdari, Hadiseh, Borges, Gabriela Lima, Baptista, Diego, Sweet, Tracy, Young, Jean-Gabriel, Jeremy, Koster & Ross, Cody T et al (2023). Latent network models to account for noisy, multiply reported social network data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 186(3), 355 - 375. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnac004 picture_as_pdf

Dominicus, Annica, Skrondal, Anders, Håkon, Gjessing, Pedersen, Nancy L, Palmgren, Juni (2006). Likelihood ratio tests in behavioral genetics: problems and solutions. Behavior Genetics, 36(2), 331-340. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10519-005-9034-7

Fisher, Stephen D., Kuha, Jouni, Payne, Clive (2010). Getting it right on the night, again- the 2010 UK general election exit poll. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 173(4), 699-701. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2010.00659.x

Hafez, Mai Sherif, Moustaki, Irini, Kuha, Jouni (2015). Analysis of multivariate longitudinal data subject to nonrandom dropout. Structural Equation Modeling, 22(2), 193-201. https://doi.org/10.1080/10705511.2014.936086

Hill, Craig A., Biemer, Paul, Buskirk, Trent, Callegaro, Mario, Cordova Cazar, Ana Lucia, Eck, Adam, Japec, Lilli, Kirchner, Antje, Kolenikov, Stas & Lyberg, Lars et al (2019). Exploring new statistical frontiers at the intersection of survey science and big data convergence at "BigSurv18". Survey Research Methods, 13(1), 123-135. https://doi.org/10.18148/srm/2019.v1i1.7467

Jackson, Jonathan, Hough, Mike, Bradford, Ben, Hohl, Katrin, Kuha, Jouni (2012). Policing by consent: understanding the dynamics of police power and legitimacy. (ESS country specific topline results series 1). European Commission.

Jackson, Jonathan, Pooler, Tia, Hohl, Katrin, Kuha, Jouni, Bradford, Ben, Hough, Mike (2011). Trust in justice: topline results from round 5 of the European Social Survey. (ESS topline results series 1). European Commission.

Kibuchi, Eliud, Durrant, Gabriele B., Sturgis, Patrick, Maslovskaya, Olga (2016-11-14 - 2016-11-15) An assessment of the utility of a Bayesian framework to improve response propensity modelling [Paper]. Intermediary Network meeting, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom, GBR.

Kibuchi, Eliud, Durrant, Gabriele B., Maslovskaya, Olga, Sturgis, Patrick (2024). An assessment of the utility of a Bayesian framework to improve response propensity modes in longitudinal data. Survey Research Methods, 18(3), 273 - 287. https://doi.org/10.18148/srm/2024.v18i3.8188 picture_as_pdf

Kibuchi, Eliud, Sturgis, Patrick, Durrant, Gabriele B., Maslovskaya, Olga (2024). The efficacy of propensity score matching for separating selection and measurement effects across different survey modes. Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, 12(3), 764 - 789. https://doi.org/10.1093/jssam/smae017 picture_as_pdf

Kuha, Jouni, Akritas, Michael G, Antoniou, Efi S (2006). Nonparametric analysis of factorial designs with random missingness: Bivariate data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(476), 1513-1526. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000000537

Kuha, Jouni, Firth, David (2011). On the index of dissimilarity for lack of fit in loglinear and log-multiplicative models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 55(1), 375-388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2010.05.005

Kuha, Jouni, Skinner, Chris J. (1997). Categorical data analysis and misclassification. In Lyberg, Lars, Biemer, Paul, Collins, Martin, De Leeuw, Edith D., Dippo, Cathryn, Schwarz, Norbert, Trewin, Dennis (Eds.), Survey Measurement and Process Quality (pp. 633-370). John Wiley & Sons.

Kuha, Jouni, Skrondal, Anders (2007). Discussion of the paper by Handcock, Rafferty and Tantrum. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 170(2), 341-342. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00471.x

Kuha, Jouni, Temple, Jonathan (2003). Covariate measurement error in quadratic regression. International Statistical Review, 71(1), 131-150. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-5823.2003.tb00189.x

Kuha, Jouni, Bukodi, Erzsébet, Goldthorpe, John H. (2021). Mediation analysis for associations of categorical variables: the role of education in social class mobility in Britain. Annals of Applied Statistics, picture_as_pdf

Kuha, Jouni, Jackson, Jonathan (2014). The item count method for sensitive survey questions: modelling criminal behaviour. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 63(2), 321-341. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12018

Kuha, Jouni, Mills, Colin (2018). On group comparisons with logistic regression models. Sociological Methods and Research, https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124117747306

Kuha, Jouni, Sturgis, Patrick (2016). Comment on ‘what to do instead of significance testing? Calculating the “number of counterfactual cases needed to disturb a finding”’ by Stephen Gorard and Jonathan Gorard. International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 19(4), 491 - 495. https://doi.org/10.1080/13645579.2015.1126495

Lauderdale, Benjamin E. (2012). Compound poisson-gamma regression models for dollar outcomes that are sometimes zero. Political Analysis, 20(3), 387-399. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mps018

Lauderdale, Benjamin E., Clark, Tom S. (2014). Scaling politically meaningful dimensions using texts and votes. American Journal of Political Science, 58(3), 754 - 771. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12085

Matsuo, Akitaka, Benoit, Kenneth (2017). More positive, assertive and forward-looking: how Leave won Twitter.

Nafstad, P., Brunekreef, B., Skrondal, Anders, Nystad, W. (2005). Early respiratory infections, asthma, and allergy: 10-year follow-up of the Oslo Birth Cohort. Pediatrics, 116(2), 255-262. https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2004-2785

Rabe-Hesketh, S., Skrondal, Anders (2001). Parameterization of multivariate random effects models for categorical data. Biometrics, 57(4), 1256-1264. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2001.1256_1.x

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Pickles, Andrew, Skrondal, Anders (2003). Correcting for covariate measurement error in logistic regression using nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation. Statistical Modelling, 3(3), 215-232. https://doi.org/10.1191/1471082X03st056oa

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Skrondal, Anders (2007). Multilevel and latent variable modeling with composite links and exploded likelihoods. Psychometrika, 72(2), 123-140. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-006-1453-8

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Skrondal, Anders (2006). Multilevel modelling of complex survey data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 169(32), 805-827. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00426.x

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Skrondal, Anders (2005). Probit model. In Everitt, B., Palmer, Charles (Eds.), Encyclopaedic Companion to Medical Statistics . Edward Arnold.

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Skrondal, Anders, Pickles, Andrew (2003). Maximum likelihood estimation of generalized linear models with covariate measurement error. Stata Journal, 3(4), 386-411.

Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia, Skrondal, Anders, Zheng, X. (2007). Multilevel structural equation modeling. In Lee, Sik-Yum (Ed.), Handbook of Latent Variable and Related Models (pp. 209-227). Elsevier (Firm).

Ready, Elspeth, Power, Eleanor (2021). Measuring reciprocity: double sampling, concordance, and network construction. Network Science, 9(4), 387 - 402. https://doi.org/10.1017/nws.2021.18 picture_as_pdf

Samuelsen, S.O., Aanestad, H., Skrondal, Anders (2007). Stratified case-cohort analysis of general cohort sampling designs. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 34(1), 103-119. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9469.2006.00552.x

Samuelsen, S.O., Wisloff, T.F., Skrondal, Anders (2006). A simple correction for ties when censoring times depend on covariates. Statistics in Medicine, 24(20), 3111-3121. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.2173

Simpson, Cohen R. (2022). Social support and network formation in a small-scale horticulturalist population. Scientific Data, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01516-x picture_as_pdf

Skrondal, Anders, Laake, Petter (2001). Regression among factor scores. Psychometrika, 66(4), 563-575. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02296196

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, S., Pickles, A. (2005). Maximum likelihood estimation of limited and discrete dependent variable models with nested random effects. Journal of Econometrics, 128(2), 301-323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.08.017

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2004). Generalized latent variable modeling: multilevel, longitudinal and structural equation models. Chapman and Hall.

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2007). Latent variable modelling: a survey. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 34(7), 712-745. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9469.2007.00573.x

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2003). Multilevel logistic regression for polytomous data and rankings. Psychometrika, 68(2), 267-287. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02294801

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2007). Redundant overdispersion parameters in multilevel models for categorical responses. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 32(4), 419-430. https://doi.org/10.3102/1076998607302629

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2003). Some applications of generalized linear latent and mixed models in epidemiology: repeated measures, measurement error and multilevel modeling. Norwegian Journal of Epidemiology, 13(2), 265-278.

Skrondal, Anders, Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia (2005). Structural equation modeling: categorical variables. In Everitt, B., Howell, D. (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science . John Wiley & Sons.

Skrondal, Anders, Kuha, Jouni (2012). Improved regression calibration. Psychometrika, 77(4), 649-669. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-012-9285-1

Spydslaug, A., Eskild, A., Trogstad, L. I. S., Nesheim, B. I., Skrondal, Anders (2005). Recurrent risk of anal sphincter laceration among women with vaginal deliveries. Obstetrics and Gynecology, 105, 307-313.

Stares, Sally (2009). Using latent class models to explore cross-national typologies of public engagement with science and technology in Europe. Science, Technology and Society, 14(2), 289-329. https://doi.org/10.1177/097172180901400205

Sturgis, Patrick (2004). Analysing complex survey data: clustering, stratification and weights. Social Research Update, Autumn(43), 1 - 4.

Sturgis, Patrick (2004). The effect of coding error on time use surveys estimates. Journal of Official Statistics, 20(3), 467 – 480.

Sturgis, Patrick, Berrington, Ann, Smith, Peter W. F. (2006). An overview of methods for the analysis of panel data. (NCRM Methods Review Papers NCRM/007). Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain).

Sturgis, Patrick, Kuha, Jouni, Howe, Shane, Maxineanu, Ioana (2025). Three experiments on the causes of differences in estimates of gambling and gambling impacts in general population surveys. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Sturgis, Patrick, Smith, Patten, Hughes, Graham (2006). A study of suitable methods for raising response rates in school surveys. (Research Reports RR721). BMRB International.

Sturgis, Patrick, Smith, Peter W. F., Berrington, Ann (2009). A comparison of graphical models and structural equation models for the analysis of longitudinal survey data. In Lynn, Peter (Ed.), Methodology of Longitudinal Surveys (pp. 381-392). John Wiley & Sons. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470743874.ch22

Sturgis, Patrick, Tilley, James (2004). Political sophistication and issue voting: an intra-individual level analysis. (ESRC Research Methods Programme Working Paper 15). University of Manchester.

Todorov, V., Petkova, K., Bauer, Martin W. (2009). In search of the universal dimensions of Public Perception of Science. Science, Technology and Society, 14(2), 331-347. https://doi.org/10.1177/097172180901400206

Turner, Gosia, Sturgis, Patrick, Martin, David (2015). Can response latencies be used to detect survey satisficing on cognitively demanding questions? Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, 3(1), 89 - 108. https://doi.org/10.1093/jssam/smu022

Turner, Malgorzata, Sturgis, Patrick, Martin, David, Skinner, Chris J. (2018). Can interviewer personality, attitudes and experience explain the design effect in face-to-face surveys? In Engel, Uwe, Jann, Ben, Lynn, Peter, Scherpenzeel, Annette, Stirgis, Patrick (Eds.), Improving Survey Methods: Lessons from Recent Research (pp. 72 - 85). Routledge.

Weihmayer, Melissa, Le Voir, Rosanna, Cardona-Fox, Gabriel (5 May 2022) Data with a purpose? Reflecting on the UN High Level Panel on Internal Displacement's recommendation on IDP data. Researching Internal Displacement blog.

Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method

Bradley, Richard (2017). Decision theory with a human face. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9780511760105

Cartwright, Nancy (2011). Predicting “it will work for us”: (way) beyond statistics. In McKay Illari, Phyllis, Russo, Federica, Williamson, Jon (Eds.), Causality in the Sciences . Oxford University Press.

Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A. (2013). Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas, Wheeler, Gregory (Eds.), New Challenges to Philosophy of Science (pp. 479-492). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg.

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Gibbsian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-37

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2024). Foundations of statistical mechanics. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009022798 picture_as_pdf

Frigg, Roman, Hoefer, Carl (2015). The best Humean system for statistical mechanics. Erkenntnis, 80(S3), 551-574. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10670-013-9541-5

Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A. (2015). An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192(12), 3979-4008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0739-8

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2023). Boltzmannian non-equilibrium and local variables. In Soto, Cristián (Ed.), Current debates in philosophy of science: in honor of Roberto Torretti . Routledge. picture_as_pdf

Frigg, Roman, Werndl, Charlotte (2021). Equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics. In Knox, Eleanor, Wilson, Alastair (Eds.), Routledge Companion to Philosophy of Physics . Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315623818-36 picture_as_pdf

Heesen, Remco, Bright, Liam Kofi (2025). Publication bias is bad for science if not necessarily scientists. Royal Society Open Science, 12(4). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.240688 picture_as_pdf

Howson, Colin (2011). Bayesianism as a pure logic of Inference. In Bandyopadhyay, P, Foster, M (Eds.), Philosophy of Statistics (pp. 441-472). North-Holland.

Howson, Colin (2002). Bayesianism in statistics. In Swinburne, Richard (Ed.), Bayes’s Theorem (pp. 39-71). Oxford University Press/British Academy.

Howson, Colin (2007). Logic with numbers. Synthese, 156(3), 491-512. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9135-8

Howson, Colin (2017). Putting on the Garber style? Better not. Philosophy of Science, 84(4), 659-676. https://doi.org/10.1086/693466

Sozou, Peter D., Hartshorne, Geraldine M. (2012). Time to pregnancy: a computational method for using the duration of non-conception for predicting conception. PLOS ONE, 7(10), e46544. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0046544

Steele, Katie (2013). Persistent experimenters, stopping rules, and statistical inference. Erkenntnis, 78(4), 937-961. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10670-012-9388-1

Tohidi, Somayeh (2025). Demographic statistical evidence with a humane face [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. https://doi.org/10.21953/lse.00004856

Werndl, Charlotte, Frigg, Roman (2015). Reconceptualising equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics and characterising its existence. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, 49, 19-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsb.2014.12.002 picture_as_pdf

Psychological and Behavioural Science

Cornish, Flora, Gillespie, Alex, Zittoun, Tania (2013). Collaborative analysis of qualitative data. In Flick, Uwe (Ed.), The Sage Handbook of Qualitative Data Analysis (pp. 79-93). Sage Publications Ltd..

Falk, Carl F., Muthukrishna, Michael (2021). Parsimony in model selection: tools for assessing fit propensity. Psychological Methods, 28(1), 123-136. https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000422 picture_as_pdf

Fay, Sophie, Lahlou, Saadi (2015). Préparez-vous au retournement du miroir numérique ! L’Obs,

Lahlou, Saadi (2001). Text mining methods: an answer to Chartier and Meunier. Papers on Social Representations, 20(38), 1-7.

Todorov, V., Petkova, K., Bauer, Martin W. (2009). In search of the universal dimensions of Public Perception of Science. Science, Technology and Society, 14(2), 331-347. https://doi.org/10.1177/097172180901400206

Uher, Jana (2022). Functions of units, scales and quantitative data: fundamental differences in numerical traceability between sciences. Quality and Quantity, 56(4), 2519 - 2548. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-021-01215-6 picture_as_pdf

Public Policy Group

Astill, Stuart (2016). The UK is missing a great opportunity to improve productivity: people data.

STICERD

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank, Gaertner, W (2006). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi's utilitarian ethics. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Amiel, Yoram, Cowell, Frank A., Gaertner, Wulf (2009). To be or not to be involved: a questionnaire-experimental view on Harsanyi’s utilitarian ethics. Social Choice and Welfare, 32(2), 299-316. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-008-0324-x

Atkinson, Anthony B. (2008). The changing distribution of earnings in OECD countries. Oxford University Press.

Atkinson, Anthony B., Gomulka, J., Stern, Nicholas (1990). Spending on alcohol: evidence from the family expenditure survey 1970-1983. The Economic Journal, 100(402), 808-827.

Bandiera, Oriana, Caprio, Gerard, Honohan, Patrick, Schiantarelli, Fabio (2000). Does financial reform raise or reduce saving? Review of Economics and Statistics, 82(2), 239-263. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465300558768

Burchardt, Tania (2005). Are one man’s rags another man’s riches? identifying adaptive expectations using panel data. Social Indicators Research, 74(1), 57-102. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-005-6519-y

Burkhauser, Richard V., Feng, Shuaizhang, Jenkins, Stephen P. (2009). Using the P90/P10 index to measure U.S. inequality trends with current population survey data: a view from inside the census bureau vaults. Review of Income and Wealth, 55(1), 166-185. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.2008.00305.x

Camponovo, Lorenzo, Otsu, Taisuke (2014). On Bartlett correctability of empirical likelihood in generalized power divergence family. Statistics and Probability Letters, 86(1), 38-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2013.12.008

Carr-Hill, Roy A., Hope, Keith, Stern, Nicholas (1972). Delinquent generations revisited. Quality and Quantity, 6(2), 327-351. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00211911

Cowell, Frank (2006). Inequality: measurement. Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

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Cowell, Frank, Litchfield, Julie, Mercader-Prats, Magda (1999). Income inequality comparisons with dirty data: the UK and Spain during the 1980s. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 45 45). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

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Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (1996). Welfare judgements in the presence of contaminated data. (Distributional Analysis Research Programme; DARP 13). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Cowell, Frank, Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia (2002). Welfare rankings in the presence of contaminated data. Econometrica, 70(3), 1221-1234. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00324

Cowell, Frank A., Fleurbaey, Marc, Tungodden, Bertil (2015). The tyranny puzzle in social preferences: an empirical investigation. Social Choice and Welfare, 45(4), 765-792. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-015-0880-9

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Hidalgo, Javier (2005). Semiparametric estimation for stationary processes whose spectra have an unknown pole. Annals of Statistics, 33(4), 1843-1889. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000318

Hidalgo, Javier (2003). An alternative bootstrap to moving blocks for time series regression models. (EM 452). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines.

Hidalgo, Javier, Delgado, Miguel, Velasco, Carlos (2005). Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes. Annals of Statistics, 33(6), 2568-2609. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000606

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Jeffrey, Andrew, Linton, Oliver, Nguyen, Thong (2006). Flexible term structure estimation: which method is preferred. Metrika, 63(1), 99-122. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-005-0017-8

Jenkins, Stephen P. (2015). Public policy and Stata. In Pinzon, Enrique (Ed.), Thirty Years with Stata: A Retrospective . Stata Press.

Jenkins, Stephen P., Burkhauser, Richard V., Feng, Shuaizhang, Larrimore, Jeff (2011). Measuring inequality using censored data: a multiple-imputation approach to estimation and inference. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 174(1), 63-81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2010.00655.x

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Linton, Oliver, Nielsen, Jens Perch, Nielsen, Soren Feodor (2009). Non-parametric regression with a latent time series. Econometrics Journal, 12(2), 187-207. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2009.00278.x

Linton, Oliver, Rodríguez-Poo, Juan M. (2001). Nonparametric factor analysis for residual time series. Test, 10(1), 161-182.

Linton, Oliver, Sancetta, Alessio (2009). Consistent estimation of a general nonparametric regression function in time series. Journal of Econometrics, 152(1), 70-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.02.006

Linton, Oliver, Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. (1999). The existence and asymptotic properties of a backfitting projection algorithm under weak conditions. Annals of Statistics, 27(5), 1443-1490. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1017939138

Linton, Oliver, Whang, Yoon-Jae (2002). Nonparametric estimation with aggregated data. Econometric Theory, 18(2), 420-468. https://doi.org/10.1017.S0266466602182089

Linton, Oliver, Xiao, Zhijie (2001). Second-order approximation for adaptive regression estimators. Econometric Theory, 17(5), 984-1024. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466601175067

Lynn, Peter, Jäckle, Annette, Jenkins, Stephen P., Sala, Emanuela (2012). The impact of questioning method on measurement error in panel survey measures of benefit receipt: evidence from a validation study. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 175(1), 289-309. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2011.00717.x

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Social Policy

Instituti i Statistikës (INSTAT) (2002). Demography of Albania: historical trends. In Popullsia e Shqipërisë 2001 . Instituti i Statistikës (Albania).

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Barclay, Kieron, Keenan, Katherine, Grundy, Emily, Kolk, Martin, Myrskylä, Mikko (2016). Reproductive history and post-reproductive mortality: a sibling comparison analysis using Swedish register data. Social Science & Medicine, 155, 82-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2016.02.043

Breznau, Nate, Rinke, Eike Mark, Wuttke, Alexander, Nguyen, Hung H.V., Adem, Muna, Adriaans, Jule, Alvarez-Benjumea, Amalia, Andersen, Henrik K., Auer, Daniel & Azevedo, Flavio et al (2022). Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(44). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203150119 picture_as_pdf

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Coast, Ernestina, Randall, Sara, Fanghanel, Alex, Lelievre, Eva, Ba-Gning, Sadio (2012-06-13 - 2012-06-16) Sofa surfers and shed dwellers: new living arrangements and household surveys in the UK and France [Paper]. European Population Conference, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, SWE.

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Jenkins, Stephen P., Burkhauser, Richard V., Feng, Shuaizhang, Larrimore, Jeff (2011). Measuring inequality using censored data: a multiple-imputation approach to estimation and inference. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 174(1), 63-81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2010.00655.x

Jenkins, Stephen P., Rios-Avila, Fernando (2020). Modelling errors in survey and administrative data on employment earnings: sensitivity to the fraction assumed to have error-free earnings. Economics Letters, 192, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109253 picture_as_pdf

Jenkins, Stephen P., Rios-Avila, Fernando (2023). Reconciling reports: modelling employment earnings and measurement errors using linked survey and administrative data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 186(1), 110 - 136. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnac003 picture_as_pdf

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Randall, Sara, Coast, Ernestina (2016). The quality of demographic data on older Africans. Demographic Research, 34, 143-174. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.5

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Steele, Fiona, Sigle-Rushton, Wendy, Kravdal, Øystein (2009). Consequences of family disruption on children's educational outcomes in Norway. Demography, 46(3), 553-574. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.0.0063

Stoebenau, Kirsten, Nixon, Stephanie A., Rubincam, Clara, Willan, Samantha, Zembe, Yanga Z.N., Tsikoane, Tumelo, Tanga, Pius T., Bello, Haruna M., Caceres, Carlos F. & Townsend, Loraine et al (2011). More than just talk: the framing of transactional sex and its implications for vulnerability to HIV in Lesotho, Madagascar and South Africa. Globalization and Health, 7(34). https://doi.org/10.1186/1744-8603-7-34

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Tinelli, Michela, Ryan, Mandy, Bond, C. (2011-02-09) Going beyond QALYs in randomised controlled trials: an application to pharmacy [Poster]. NIHR / MRC Methodology Workshop, London, United Kingdom, GBR.

Wang, Duolao, Murphy, Michael J. (2004). Estimating optimal transformations for multiple regression using ACE algorithm. Journal of Data Science, 2(4), 329-346.

Sociology

Breznau, Nate, Rinke, Eike Mark, Wuttke, Alexander, Nguyen, Hung H.V., Adem, Muna, Adriaans, Jule, Alvarez-Benjumea, Amalia, Andersen, Henrik K., Auer, Daniel & Azevedo, Flavio et al (2022). Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(44). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203150119 picture_as_pdf

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Tonkiss, Fran (2004). Using focus groups. In Seale, Clive (Ed.), Researching Society and Culture (pp. 193-206). SAGE Publications.

Wansleben, Leon (2015). What money can’t buy.

Statistics

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Aamodt, Geir, Samuelsen, Sven O, Skrondal, Anders (2006). A simulation study of three methods for affecting disease clusters. International Journal of Health Geographics, 5(15), p. 15. https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-5-15

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Acciaio, Beatrice, Larsson, Martin (2017). Semi-static completeness and robust pricing by informed investors. Annals of Applied Probability, 27(4), 2270-2304. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-AAP1259

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Alessi, Lucia, Barigozzi, Matteo, Capasso, Marco (2007). Generalized dynamic factor model + GARCH: exploiting multivariant information for univariate prediction. (LEM working paper series 2006/13). Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM).

Alessi, Lucia, Barigozzi, Matteo, Capasso, Marco (2011). Nonfundamentalness in structural econometric models: a review. International Statistical Review, 79(1), 16-47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-5823.2011.00131.x

Alfonzetti, Giuseppe, Bellio, Ruggero, Chen, Yunxiao, Moustaki, Irini (2025). Pairwise stochastic approximation for confirmatory factor analysis of categorical data. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 78(1), 22 - 43. https://doi.org/10.1111/bmsp.12347 picture_as_pdf

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Chen, Yunxiao, Ying, Zhiliang, Zhang, Haoran (2021). Unfolding-model-based visualization: theory, method and applications. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 22, 1-51. picture_as_pdf

Chen, Yunxiao, Zhang, Siliang (2020). A latent Gaussian process model for analysing intensive longitudinal data. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 73(2), 237 - 260. https://doi.org/10.1111/bmsp.12180 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun Chen, Dassios, Angelos, Tzougas, George (2024). EM estimation for bivariate mixed poisson INAR(1) claim count regression models with correlated random effects. European Actuarial Journal, 14(1), 225 – 255. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13385-023-00351-7 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun Chen, Dassios, Angelos, Tzougas, George (2023). INAR approximation of bivariate linear birth and death process. Journal of Applied Statistics, 26(3), 459 - 497. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11203-023-09289-9 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun Chen, Dassios, Angelos, Tzougas, George (2023). A first order binomial mixed poisson integer-valued autoregressive model with serially dependent innovations. Journal of Applied Statistics, 50(2), 352 - 369. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1993798 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun, Dassios, Angelos (2022). Cluster point processes and Poisson thinning INARMA. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 147, 456 - 480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2022.02.002 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun, Dassios, Angelos, Kuan, Valerie, Lim, Jia Wei, Qu, Yan, Surya, Budhi, Zhao, Hongbiao (2021). A two-phase dynamic contagion model for COVID-19. Results in Physics, 26, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104264 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun, Dassios, Angelos, Tzougas, George (2022). EM estimation for the bivariate mixed exponential regression model. Risks, 10(5). https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050105 picture_as_pdf

Chen, Zezhun, Dassios, Angelos, Tzougas, George (2022). Multivariate mixed Poisson Generalized Inverse Gaussian INAR(1) regression. Computational Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00180-022-01253-0 picture_as_pdf

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Dassios, Angelos (2006). Quantiles of Lévy processes and applications in finance. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Dassios, Angelos, Jang, J.W. (2005). Kalman-Bucy filtering for linear systems driven by the Cox process with shot noise intensity and its application to the pricing of reinsurance contracts. Journal of Applied Probability, 42(1), 93-107. https://doi.org/10.1239/jap/1110381373

Dassios, Angelos, Nagaradjasarma, Jayalaxshmi (2011). Pricing of Asian options on interest rates in the CIR model. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Shanle (2011). Barrier strategies with Parisian delay. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Shanle (2011). Brownian excursions in a corridor and related Parisian options. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Shanle (2011). Brownian excursions outside a corridor and two-sided Parisian options. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Shanle (2011). Double-barrier Parisian options. Journal of Applied Probability, 48(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1239/jap/1300198132

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Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Shanle (2008). Ruin probabilities of the Parisian type for small claims. Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science.

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Dassios, Angelos, Zhao, Hongbiao (2012). Ruin by dynamic contagion claims. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 51(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.03.006

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Dassios, Angelos, Zhao, Hongbiao (2011). A dynamic contagion process. Advances in Applied Probability, 43(3), 814-846. https://doi.org/10.1239/aap/1316792671

Dassios, Angelos, Jang, Jiwook (2003). Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity. Finance and Stochastics, 7(1), 73-95. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800200079

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Dassios, Angelos, Jang, Jiwook, Zhao, Hongbiao (2015). A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 65, 55-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.08.009

Dassios, Angelos, Li, Luting (2020). Explicit asymptotic on first passage times of diffusion processes. Advances in Applied Probability, 52(2). picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Lim, Jia Wei (2013). Parisian option pricing: a recursive solution for the density of the Parisian stopping time. SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 4(1), 599-615. https://doi.org/10.1137/120875466

Dassios, Angelos, Lim, Jia Wei (2017). An efficient algorithm for simulating the drawdown stopping time and the running maximum of a Brownian motion. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 20(1), 189-204. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-017-9542-y

Dassios, Angelos, Lim, Jia Wei, Qu, Yan (2020). Azéma martingales for Bessel and CIR processes and the pricing of Parisian zero-coupon bonds. Mathematical Finance, 30(4), 1497-1526. https://doi.org/10.1111/mafi.12248 picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Nagaradjasarma, Jayalaxshmi (2006). The square-root process and Asian options. Quantitative Finance, 6(4), 337-347. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697680600724775

Dassios, Angelos, Qu, Yan, Zhao, Hongbiao (2018). Exact simulation for a class of tempered stable. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 28(3). https://doi.org/10.1145/3184453

Dassios, Angelos, Zhang, Junyi (2023). Exact simulation of Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and generalised gamma process. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 25(2). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-023-10040-3 picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Zhang, Junyi (2021). Exact simulation of two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet random variables. Electronic Journal of Probability, 26(0). https://doi.org/10.1214/20-EJP573 picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Zhang, Junyi (2022). First hitting time of Brownian motion on simple graph with skew semiaxes. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 24(3), 1805 - 1831. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-021-09884-4 picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Zhang, Junyi (2020). Parisian time of reflected Brownian motion with drift on rays and its application in banking. Risks, 8(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/risks8040127 picture_as_pdf

Dassios, Angelos, Zhao, Hongbiao (2017). Efficient simulation of clustering jumps with CIR intensity. Operations Research, 65(6), 1494-1515. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1640

Dassios, Angelos, Zhao, Hongbiao (2013). Exact simulation of Hawkes process with exponentially decaying intensity. Electronic Communications in Probability, 18(62). https://doi.org/10.1214/ECP.v18-2717

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Zhang, Bo, Hao, Sixing, Yao, Qiwei (2025). Blind source separation over space: an eigenanalysis approach. Statistica Sinica, 35, 2373 - 2390. https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.202023.0157 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Bo, Pan, Guangming, Yao, Qiwei, Wang, Jian-Zhou (2023). Factor modelling for clustering high-dimensional time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association, https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2023.2183132 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Haoran, Chen, Yunxiao, Li, Xiaoou (2020). A note on exploratory item factor analysis by singular value decomposition. Psychometrika, 85(2), 358 - 372. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-020-09704-7 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Junyi, Dassios, Angelos (2025). Posterior sampling from truncated Ferguson-Klass representation of normalised completely random measure mixtures. Bayesian Analysis, 20(3), 795 - 825. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-BA1421 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Junyi, Dassios, Angelos (2023). Truncated Poisson-Dirichlet approximation for Dirichlet process hierarchical models. Statistics and Computing, picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Junyi, Dassios, Angelos (2023). Truncated two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet approximation for Pitman-Yor process hierarchical models. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12688 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Junyi, Dassios, Angelos, Zhong, Chong, Yao, Qiufei (2025). Truncated inverse-Lévy measure representation of the beta process. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 258, 1720-1728. picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Peng, Qiu, Zhenguo, Shi, Chengchun (2016). simplexreg: an R package for regression analysis of proportional data using the simplex distribution. Journal of Statistical Software, 71(11). https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v071.i11 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Pengcheng, Chen, Zezhun, Tzougas, George, Calderín–Ojeda, Enrique, Dassios, Angelos, Wu, Xueyuan (2025). Multivariate zero-inflated INAR(1) model with an application in automobile insurance. North American Actuarial Journal, 29(2), 310 - 328. https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2024.2381726 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Rongmao, Robinson, Peter, Yao, Qiwei (2019). Identifying cointegration by eigenanalysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 114(526), 916 - 927. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2018.1458620

Zhang, Siliang, Chen, Yunxiao (2022). Computation for latent variable model estimation: a unified stochastic proximal framework. Psychometrika, 87(4), 1473 - 1502. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-022-09863-9 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Siliang, Chen, Yunxiao (2024). A note on Ising network analysis with missing data. Psychometrika, 89(4), 1186 - 1202. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-024-09985-2 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Siliang, Kuha, Jouni, Steele, Fiona (2024). Modelling correlation matrices in multivariate data, with application to reciprocity and complementarity of child-parent exchanges of support. Annals of Applied Statistics, 18(4), 3024 - 3049. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOAS1921 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Wen, Shi, Jingwen, Wang, Xiaojun, Wynn, Henry (2023). AI-powered decision-making in facilitating insurance claim dispute resolution. Annals of Operations Research, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-023-05631-9 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Wenyang, Yao, Qiwei, Tong, Howell, Stenseth, Nils Chr (2003). Smoothing for spatiotemporal models and its application to modeling Muskrat-Mink interaction. Biometrics, 59(4), 813-821. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2003.00095.x

Zhang, Xinyu, Li, Dong, Tong, Howell (2023). On the least squares estimation of multiple-threshold-variable autoregressive models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2023.2174124 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Xinyu, Tong, Howell (2022). Asymptotic theory of principal component analysis for time series data with cautionary comments. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 185(2), 543 - 565. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12793 picture_as_pdf

Zhang, Yingying, Shi, Chengchun, Luo, Shikai (2023). Conformal off-policy prediction. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 206, 2751-2768. picture_as_pdf

Zhang, You You (2014). Brownian excursions in mathematical finance [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Zhao, Hongbiao (2012). A dynamic contagion process for modelling contagion risk in finance and insurance [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. picture_as_pdf

Zhou, Yunzhe, Qi, Zhengling, Shi, Chengchun, Li, Lexin (2023). Optimizing pessimism in dynamic treatment regimes: a Bayesian learning approach. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 206, picture_as_pdf

Zhou, Yunzhe, Shi, Chengchun, Li, Lexin, Yao, Qiwei (2023). Testing for the Markov property in time series via deep conditional generative learning. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 85(4), 1204 - 1222. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad064 picture_as_pdf

Zhu, Jin, Wan, Runzhe, Qi, Zhengling, Luo, Shikai, Shi, Chengchun (2024). Robust offline reinforcement learning with heavy-tailed rewards. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 238, 541 - 549. picture_as_pdf

Zhu, Yajing (2018). Multilevel structural equation models for the interrelationships between multiple dimensions of childhood socioeconomic circumstances, partnership stability and midlife health [Doctoral thesis]. London School of Economics and Political Science. https://doi.org/10.21953/lse.v86u2w521b54

Zhu, Yajing, Steele, Fiona, Moustaki, Irini (2017). A general 3-step maximum likelihood approach to estimate the effects of multiple latent categorical variables on a distal outcome. Structural Equation Modeling, 24(5), 643-656. https://doi.org/10.1080/10705511.2017.1324310

Zhu, Yajing, Steele, Fiona, Moustaki, Irini (2020). A multilevel structural equation model for the interrelationships between multiple latent dimensions of childhood socio‐economic circumstances, partnership transitions and mid‐life health. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 183(3), 1029 - 1050. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12554 picture_as_pdf

Zhu, Ziwei, Wang, Tengyao, Samworth, Richard J. (2022). High-dimensional principal component analysis with heterogeneous missingness. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 84(5), 2000 - 2031. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12550 picture_as_pdf

do Espirito Santo, Jonatas Silva, da Conceição, Jackson Santos, da Costa, Lilia Carolina Carneiro, Fiaccone, Rosemeire Leovigildo, Barreto, Marcos, Ichihara, Maria Yury, Ara, Anderson (2024). K-means DTW Barycenter Averaging: a clustering analysis of COVID-19 cases and deaths on the Brazilian federal units. International Journal of Data Science and Analytics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-024-00542-9 picture_as_pdf

van Bellegem, Sébastien, Fryzlewicz, Piotr, von Sachs, Rainer (2003). A wavelet-based model for forecasting non-stationary processes. In Gazeau, J-P, Kerner, R, Antoine, J-P, Metens, S (Eds.), Group 24: Physical and Mathematical Aspects of Symmetries: Proceedings of the 24th International Colloquium on Group Theoretical (pp. 955-958). Institute of Physics Publishing.

Çetin, Umut, Waelbroeck, Henri (2023). Power laws in market microstructure. In Jarrow, Robert A, Madan, Dilip B (Eds.), Peter Carr Gedenkschrift: Research Advances in Mathematical Finance (pp. 753 - 819). World Scientific (Firm). https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811280306_0022

Çetin, Umut, Larsen, Kasper (2023). Uniqueness in cauchy problems for diffusive real-valued strict local martingales. Transactions of the American Mathematical Society Series B, 10(13), 381-406. https://doi.org/10.1090/btran/141 picture_as_pdf

Çetin, Umut, Waelbroeck, Henri (2023). Power laws in market microstructure. Frontiers of Mathematical Finance, 2(1), 56 - 98. https://doi.org/10.3934/fmf.2023003 picture_as_pdf

Systemic Risk Centre

Baruník, Jozef, Bevilacqua, Mattia, Tunaru, Radu (2022). Asymmetric network connectedness of fears. Review of Economics and Statistics, 104(6), 1304 - 1316. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01003 picture_as_pdf

Bevilacqua, Mattia, Tunaru, Radu (2021). The SKEW index: extracting what has been left. Journal of Financial Stability, 53, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2020.100816 picture_as_pdf

Caravelli, Francesco, Bardoscia, Marco, Caccioli, Fabio (2016). Emergence of giant strongly connected components in continuum disk-spin percolation. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2016(May). https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2016/05/053211

Danielsson, Jon (2015). What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon (2013). The new market-risk regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, James, Kevin R., Valenzuela, Marcela, Zer, Ilknur (2014). Model risk and the implications for risk management, macroprudential policy, and financial regulations. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Zhou, Chen (2015). Why risk is hard to measure. VoxEU,

Danielsson, Jon, Shin, Hyun Song, Zigrand, Jean-Pierre (2004). The impact of risk regulation on price dynamics. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(5), 1069-1087. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(03)00113-4

Koukorinis, Andreas, Peters, Gareth W., Germano, Guido (2025). Generative-discriminative machine learning models for high-frequency financial regime classification. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 27, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-025-10148-8 picture_as_pdf

Marcaccioli, Riccardo, Livan, Giacomo (2020). Maximum entropy approach to multivariate time series randomization. Scientific Reports, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67536-y picture_as_pdf

Menkveld, Albert J., Dreber, Anna, Holzmeister, Felix, Huber, Juergen, Johannesson, Magnus, Kirchler, Michael, Neusüß, Sebastian, Razen, Michael, Weitzel, Utz & Abad-Díaz, David et al (2024). Nonstandard errors. Journal of Finance, 79(3), 2339 - 2390. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13337 picture_as_pdf

Procacci, Pier Francesco, Aste, Tomaso (2022). Portfolio optimization with sparse multivariate modeling. Journal of Asset Management, 23(6), 445 - 465. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-022-00280-2

Sariev, Eduard, Germano, Guido (2020). Bayesian regularized artificial neural networks for the estimation of the probability of default. Quantitative Finance, 20(2), 311-328. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2019.1633014 picture_as_pdf

Scaramozzino, Roberta, Cerchiello, Paola, Aste, Tomaso (2021). Information theoretic causality detection between financial and sentiment data. Entropy, 23(5). https://doi.org/10.3390/e23050621 picture_as_pdf

Seabrook, Isobel, Barucca, Paolo, Caccioli, Fabio (2022). Structural importance and evolution: an application to financial transaction networks. Physica A, 607, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2022.128203 picture_as_pdf

Stern, Samuel, Livan, Giacomo (2021). The impact of noise and topology on opinion dynamics in social networks. Royal Society Open Science, 8(4). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201943 picture_as_pdf

Tsionas, Efthymios G., Tran, Kien C., Michaelides, Panayotis G. (2017). Bayesian inference in threshold stochastic frontier models. Empirical Economics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1364-9

Tsionas, Mike G., Michaelides, Panayotis G. (2017). Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 482, 95-107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.04.060

Varga-Haszonits, Istvan, Caccioli, Fabio, Kondor, Imre (2016). Replica approach to mean-variance portfolio optimization. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2016(Dec.). https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/aa4f9c

Vidal-Tomás, David, Briola, Antonio, Aste, Tomaso (2023). FTX's downfall and Binance's consolidation: the fragility of centralised digital finance. Physica A, 625, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129044 picture_as_pdf

Urban and Spatial Programme

Baltagi, Badi H., Fingleton, Bernard, Pirotte, Alain (2011). Estimating and forecasting with a dynamic spatial panel data model. (SERC Discussion Papers SERCDP095). Spatial Economics Research Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Faggio, Giulia, Silva, Olmo, Strange, William C. (2017). Heterogeneous agglomeration. Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(1), 80-94. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00604

Fingleton, Bernard (2008). Testing the NEG model: further evidence from panel data. (SERC Discussion Papers SERCDP0005). Spatial Economics Research Centre (SERC), London School of Economics and Political Science.

Fingleton, Bernard, Gómez-Antonio, Miguel (2009). Analysing the impact of public capital stock using the NEG wage equation: a panel data approach. (SERC Discussion Papers SERCDP0024). Spatial Economics Research Centre (SERC), London School of Economics and Political Science.

Gibbons, Stephen (14 July 2011) Crime nudge. Spatial Economics Research Centre Blog. picture_as_pdf

Gibbons, Stephen (2013). Do student satisfaction ratings affect university choices? New evidence about the National Student Survey.

Gibbons, Stephen, Overman, Henry G., Patacchini, Eleonora (2015). Spatial methods. In Duranton, Gilles, Henderson, J. Vernon, Strange, William C. (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics (pp. 115-168). North-Holland. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59517-1.00003-9

Gordon, Ian R., Champion, Tony, Coombes, Mike (2015). Urban escalators and interregional elevators: the difference that location, mobility, and sectoral specialisation make to occupational progression. Environment and Planning A, 47(3), 588-606. https://doi.org/10.1068/a130125p

Lawless, Paul, Tyler, Peter, Overman, Henry G. (2011). Strategies for underperforming places. (SERC Policy Papers SERCPP006). The London School of Economics and Political Science, Spatial Economics Research Centre.

Manning, Alan, Mazeine, Graham (2024). Should I stay or should I go? Return migration from the United States. (CEP Discussion Papers CEPDP1980). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance. picture_as_pdf

What Works Centre

Gibbons, Stephen, Overman, Henry G., Patacchini, Eleonora (2015). Spatial methods. In Duranton, Gilles, Henderson, J. Vernon, Strange, William C. (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics (pp. 115-168). North-Holland. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59517-1.00003-9

Lawless, Paul, Tyler, Peter, Overman, Henry G. (2011). Strategies for underperforming places. (SERC Policy Papers SERCPP006). The London School of Economics and Political Science, Spatial Economics Research Centre.